@Theo4
#2900x56687bf447db6ffa42ffe2204a05edaa20f55839
~17d· 14 markets · 16001 tradesVol: $43,065,7802026-08-02 01:29:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
86% (12/14)20/20
11892.77x (win $22,031,823 / loss $1,853)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 11.76215/15
Sortino 86754.68410/10
$+1.0978 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3023 (14 markets)0/10
5/7 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,834 / $22,029,989)10/10
Badges
12Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+22,053,934
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
0% sells
DCA Master
Avg 1142.9 entries/market
Whale
$20,066,522 invested
Consistent
5/7 profitable days
High Roller
$647,307/day
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#1$22,053,953Vol: $43,064,982
🎭 CULTURE#720,183$-19Vol: $798
Overview
#1Net PnL
$22,053,934
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,065,780
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
16001B / 0S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
86%
12W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$22,053,934
Win Rate
86%
12W / 2L
Profit Factor
11892.77x
Avg Win
$1,835,985
Avg Loss
$-926
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,230,784 (0.9173322119914321% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$8,296,787
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$6,058,951
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5,875,046
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $1,164,437
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$398,105
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$84,340
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$51,351
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$50,786
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$29,150
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$17,258
Top Losers
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$-1,834
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?$-19
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.570
Sortino
inf
HHI
3023
Concentrated
EV per $1
$1.098
Kelly %
85.1%
Half-Kelly
42.5%
Top-1 market
45.2%
Top-5 markets
97.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
516.2
Very active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
34 min
Avg Trades / Session
239.4
Bot Detection
#670
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
65% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 8.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock516 trades/day — automation0.5 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1142.93
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)51.3%
High (>55c)48.7%
Sessions
#1210/15/2024, 1:47:48 PM1126 trades$1,001,715169 min
10/25/2024, 2:07:40 PM30 trades$980,09613 min
10/21/2024, 1:30:01 PM109 trades$975,60842 min
10/23/2024, 5:55:15 PM145 trades$845,74930 min
10/15/2024, 4:53:11 AM1906 trades$794,375200 min
10/17/2024, 11:06:06 AM26 trades$741,9269 min
10/17/2024, 6:31:43 AM545 trades$643,49054 min
10/17/2024, 11:21:18 AM328 trades$638,407110 min
10/22/2024, 12:37:54 AM138 trades$602,72717 min
11/5/2024, 4:38:37 PM501 trades$586,43018 min
10/14/2024, 3:33:16 PM437 trades$542,45785 min
10/20/2024, 6:24:15 AM55 trades$539,35324 min
10/25/2024, 2:47:32 PM74 trades$495,5666 min
11/5/2024, 5:39:55 PM173 trades$465,75235 min
10/21/2024, 8:10:11 PM727 trades$401,77247 min
10/22/2024, 6:18:10 PM69 trades$400,91428 min
10/28/2024, 8:35:04 PM5 trades$395,7312 min
10/22/2024, 5:40:48 PM605 trades$379,16632 min
10/25/2024, 9:21:47 AM391 trades$336,92635 min
10/25/2024, 2:26:16 PM9 trades$333,1943 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-18
10-21
10-22
10-26
10-29
11-05
11-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 1142.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M51.3 / H48.7