SirHarryOakes

@SirHarryOakes

#3,63592

0x5685bf6758facce7d1221d3cc3ab0fdb836a62e2

~306d· 280 markets · 2498 tradesVol: $1,479,3362026-08-02 06:22:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (205/245)20/20
3.06x (win $65,024 / loss $21,251)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.48215/15
Sortino 9.64610/10
$+0.0473 per $1 invested2.4/10
HHI 98 (245 markets)10/10
130/155 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($5,828 / $43,773)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+48,585
DCA Master
Avg 6.8 entries/market
Whale
$926,078 invested
Consistent
130/155 profitable days
High Roller
$1,270/day
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,014$49,306Vol: $1,211,089
CRYPTO#8,118$5,995Vol: $116,641
🎭 CULTURE#815,695$-7,534Vol: $90,999
SPORTS#27,610$1,568Vol: $34,270
📈 ECONOMICS#673,561$-405Vol: $11,219
💻 TECH#252,962$-247Vol: $11,062
💰 FINANCE#25,507$52Vol: $2,989

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$48,674
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,479,336
Total Redeem
$69
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
280
total markets
Trades
1194B / 1304S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~306d

Periods

#2
Today
$115
Vol: $0
Week
$1,045
Vol: $0
Month
$547
Vol: $3,990
All Time
$48,674
Vol: $1,479,336

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
205W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$48,585
Win Rate
84%
205W / 40L
Profit Factor
3.06x
Avg Win
$317
Avg Loss
$-545

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,771 (0.2216937054128263% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?$4,282
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$3,261
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$3,228
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$3,181
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$3,062
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$2,528
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2,352
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1,968
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1,960
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?$1,810

Top Losers

Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?$-6,273
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-3,474
US military action against Iran before July?$-2,431
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-1,710
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1,609
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-1,056
Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May?$-649
US military action against Iran before August?$-628
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?$-476

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.286
Sortino
0.223
HHI
79
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.054
Kelly %
39.1%
Half-Kelly
19.6%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
11.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 146s — normal for humanCV 1.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.84
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)1.3%
High (>55c)97.2%

Sessions

#12
5/29/2026, 4:55:43 PM54 trades$16,58718 min
2/28/2026, 2:59:47 PM7 trades$15,30613 min
5/4/2025, 3:22:16 PM5 trades$13,5825 min
7/1/2026, 5:04:02 PM44 trades$13,5624 min
4/17/2026, 11:27:38 AM61 trades$13,2596 min
4/1/2026, 4:53:37 PM36 trades$13,0778 min
11/1/2024, 5:34:48 AM4 trades$12,6281 min
1/1/2026, 4:47:37 PM3 trades$11,8009 min
7/1/2026, 4:43:50 PM27 trades$11,79612 min
5/19/2025, 5:09:19 PM4 trades$11,6388 min
2/26/2025, 12:44:47 AM2 trades$11,5283 min
5/3/2025, 2:10:58 AM3 trades$11,4447 min
4/1/2026, 1:16:19 PM32 trades$11,3457 min
3/22/2025, 1:31:33 AM3 trades$11,2025 min
12/26/2024, 3:21:52 PM3 trades$10,2634 min
6/15/2025, 4:45:05 PM10 trades$10,21916 min
1/1/2026, 5:06:09 PM2 trades$10,0003 min
6/15/2025, 4:22:11 PM5 trades$9,3468 min
10/25/2025, 5:57:49 PM3 trades$9,3062 min
3/10/2026, 1:01:51 AM3 trades$9,1186 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-03
12-05
04-02
06-21
10-07
01-26
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.5 / M1.3 / H97.2