@hopedieslast
610x5739ddf8672627ce076eff5f444610a250075f1a
~507d· 215 markets · 11314 trades2026-08-02 04:13:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
54% (98/181)12.1/20
1.19x (win $769,160 / loss $646,960)4.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.84315/15
Sortino 1.04310/10
$+0.0277 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 455 (181 markets)10/10
70/118 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 74% of peak ($275,494 / $371,897)0/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+241,926
DCA Master
Avg 48.5 entries/market
Whale
$4,413,996 invested
High Roller
$7,029/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$241,926
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,413,996
Total Redeem
$25,193
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
215
total markets
Trades
8454B / 2860S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~507d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
54%
98W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$241,926
Win Rate
54%
98W / 83L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$7,849
Avg Loss
$-7,890
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $150,698 (0.6229116171679561% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$56,807
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$47,050
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$46,842
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$45,953
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$43,308
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$41,729
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$37,941
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$29,732
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$29,210
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?$27,800
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-57,743
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-57,474
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-56,185
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$-46,257
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-35,867
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$-33,711
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-32,528
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-28,904
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-25,864
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-23,919
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.044
Sortino
0.038
HHI
320
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12%
Top-5 markets
31.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
18.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.6
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 240s — normal for humanCV 3.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active0.3 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
48.5
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.2%
Mid (20-55c)38.6%
High (>55c)51.1%
Sessions
#126/15/2026, 4:47:25 PM29 trades$127,9320 min
4/19/2025, 2:25:00 PM53 trades$127,23322 min
4/2/2026, 5:14:49 PM54 trades$122,08410 min
4/19/2025, 3:46:00 PM30 trades$99,45316 min
3/23/2026, 9:06:45 AM2 trades$83,6740 min
5/31/2026, 3:10:15 PM23 trades$76,9675 min
6/17/2026, 8:03:26 PM70 trades$73,82827 min
1/12/2026, 3:59:36 AM6 trades$70,0901 min
4/3/2025, 6:58:54 PM1 trades$56,7230 min
6/16/2026, 11:48:55 PM1 trades$56,0450 min
4/17/2026, 1:42:44 PM14 trades$55,95410 min
4/19/2025, 2:54:28 PM36 trades$52,30914 min
2/6/2026, 9:06:21 PM4 trades$48,1791 min
4/19/2025, 4:46:34 PM5 trades$44,7756 min
4/5/2025, 12:11:02 AM6 trades$41,2506 min
5/5/2026, 10:57:52 PM22 trades$39,0407 min
8/6/2025, 12:16:34 PM9 trades$35,8811 min
4/29/2026, 5:20:28 PM2 trades$34,4823 min
1/13/2026, 5:40:01 PM7 trades$34,28111 min
6/11/2025, 4:22:27 PM1 trades$33,8680 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
06-29
09-20
01-03
03-19
05-18
07-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 55 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 48.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.2 / M38.6 / H51.1