@maybebrian
#57,129640x580a99479f35c7498e62a57b4a4a4a41682da236
~47d· 105 markets · 638 tradesVol: $76,1412026-09-20 08:10:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
30% (21/69)0.2/20
1.81x (win $13,628 / loss $7,541)12.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.05415/15
Sortino 16.77010/10
$+0.3968 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1083 (69 markets)7.1/10
7/29 profitable days (24%)0/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($2,006 / $7,891)8.9/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+1,727
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#14,067$1,512Vol: $31,640
📈 ECONOMICS#6,226$327Vol: $21,482
📢 MENTIONS#120,374$-5Vol: $10,078
⚽ SPORTS#85,627$222Vol: $5,581
₿ CRYPTO#1,646,689$-588Vol: $2,818
💰 FINANCE#8,071$420Vol: $2,133
💻 TECH#236,179$-9Vol: $807
🎭 CULTURE#779,874$-61Vol: $784
🌤️ WEATHER#258,929$-14Vol: $230
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,856
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$76,141
Total Redeem
$3,010
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
105
total markets
Trades
287B / 351S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d
Periods
#2Today
$-115
Vol: $0
Week
$208
Vol: $0
Month
$732
Vol: $7,108
All Time
$1,856
Vol: $76,141
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
30%
21W / 48L events
Realized PnL
$1,727
Win Rate
30%
21W / 48L
Profit Factor
1.81x
Avg Win
$649
Avg Loss
$-209
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,653 (6.167075768803262% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$4,767
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3,732
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$2,153
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1,081
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$380
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$375
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$206
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$168
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$133
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?$105
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-2,771
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-1,000
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-897
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-781
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-303
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?$-200
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-160
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-160
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-120
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$-104
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.157
Sortino
0.836
HHI
2221
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.306
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
38.6%
Top-5 markets
83.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 241s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.39
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)37.6%
Mid (20-55c)38.3%
High (>55c)24%
Sessions
#124/13/2026, 6:35:01 PM4 trades$2,2840 min
4/9/2026, 9:15:43 PM8 trades$1,9570 min
4/6/2026, 6:13:13 PM4 trades$1,2860 min
4/23/2026, 8:12:40 AM5 trades$1,1170 min
5/11/2026, 10:52:59 PM17 trades$1,0914 min
6/8/2026, 11:52:22 AM4 trades$1,0074 min
4/6/2026, 6:42:43 PM7 trades$9560 min
5/25/2026, 9:03:43 AM9 trades$9143 min
9/14/2026, 7:26:55 PM52 trades$8755 min
5/5/2026, 10:31:24 AM11 trades$7694 min
5/17/2026, 3:05:54 PM15 trades$6683 min
4/12/2026, 4:24:01 PM6 trades$6581 min
4/14/2026, 12:16:03 PM8 trades$6400 min
4/13/2026, 7:29:07 PM6 trades$6280 min
8/29/2026, 6:26:19 PM21 trades$62610 min
4/29/2026, 4:06:38 PM10 trades$5846 min
8/28/2026, 12:59:39 PM4 trades$5301 min
6/23/2026, 10:54:53 AM10 trades$5295 min
7/25/2026, 8:59:04 AM10 trades$5286 min
5/10/2026, 9:46:41 PM4 trades$5240 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-06
04-17
04-25
05-02
05-15
06-08
07-04
09-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.39/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.6 / M38.3 / H24