@math-is-all-you-need

#139,79317

0x584d5a8369ad658fc992f39a75f5515eccce8989

~46d· 2375 markets · 5009 tradesVol: $57,1412026-08-26 09:16:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (863/2374)3.2/20
0.93x (win $2,889 / loss $3,097)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3660/15
Sortino -2.9190/10
$-0.0411 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 11 (2374 markets)10/10
18/45 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 288% of peak ($477 / $165)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+246
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#47,028$426Vol: $55,772
🌤️ WEATHER#265,679$-21Vol: $561
⚽ SPORTS#1,634,546$-62Vol: $279
💰 FINANCE#560,253$-6Vol: $190
🎭 CULTURE#239,570$0Vol: $121
🏛️ POLITICS#880,549$-1Vol: $94
📈 ECONOMICS#190,322$0Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$336
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$57,141
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2375
total markets
Trades
3241B / 1768S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $20
Week
$1
Vol: $323
Month
$344
Vol: $29,445
All Time
$336
Vol: $57,141

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
863W / 1511L events
Realized PnL
$246
Win Rate
36%
863W / 1511L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $69 (0.2795112016293279% of PnL)

Top Winners

Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$31
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$20
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$18
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$17
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$17
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$17
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$16
Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$16
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in June?$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$15

Top Losers

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-114
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$-17
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$-11
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.122
Sortino
-0.141
HHI
12
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.041
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
3.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
71.6
Very active
Markets / Day
33.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.6m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 116s — normal for humanCV 1.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock72 trades/day — mass trading34 markets/day — mass coverage65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.9%
Mid (20-55c)35.3%
High (>55c)26.8%

Sessions

#12
7/10/2026, 7:25:22 AM2 trades$1520 min
6/10/2026, 11:03:54 AM15 trades$711 min
6/10/2026, 6:18:37 AM30 trades$6815 min
6/9/2026, 6:18:54 PM16 trades$671 min
6/11/2026, 6:41:28 AM24 trades$6015 min
6/4/2026, 12:34:04 PM10 trades$6015 min
6/9/2026, 7:40:33 PM22 trades$5911 min
6/9/2026, 5:17:39 PM18 trades$583 min
6/10/2026, 9:49:09 PM15 trades$573 min
6/4/2026, 5:22:24 AM21 trades$5710 min
6/11/2026, 11:08:12 AM12 trades$560 min
6/11/2026, 2:55:04 PM21 trades$537 min
6/10/2026, 12:30:13 PM16 trades$520 min
6/4/2026, 9:55:51 PM7 trades$528 min
6/10/2026, 6:34:04 PM17 trades$481 min
6/4/2026, 8:02:34 PM8 trades$4815 min
6/12/2026, 1:18:34 PM37 trades$4643 min
6/10/2026, 10:05:24 AM14 trades$451 min
6/10/2026, 7:19:06 AM16 trades$454 min
6/10/2026, 11:09:36 PM14 trades$440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-01
06-10
06-23
06-30
07-07
07-31
08-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.11/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.9 / M35.3 / H26.8