@TheGoodGuesser
#118,73050x585bab17aaefb96fbd138276e503bf1c8b0f5a49
~36d· 17 markets · 184 tradesVol: $42,3542026-09-10 10:07:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
19% (3/16)0/20
0.11x (win $21 / loss $188)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -13.7040/15
Sortino -11.3310/10
$-0.0415 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1591 (16 markets)4.5/10
1/9 profitable days (11%)0/10
Max DD 1047% of peak ($184 / $18)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+473
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#27,106$514Vol: $33,477
⚽ SPORTS#1,416,965$-14Vol: $8,876
Overview
#1Net PnL
$500
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$42,354
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
130B / 54S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d
Periods
#2Week
$11
Vol: $2,535
Month
$27
Vol: $3,805
All Time
$500
Vol: $42,354
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
19%
3W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$473
Win Rate
19%
3W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-21
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21 (0.04463096471384173% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?$18
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$2
I'll read the skill first to apply the correct format.Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Top Losers
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-70
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-51
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-21
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-15
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?$-7
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.676
Sortino
-0.724
HHI
25
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.370
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
8.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
39.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2372s — normal for humanCV 2.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.06
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)39.2%
Mid (20-55c)3.8%
High (>55c)56.9%
Sessions
#125/3/2026, 10:04:10 PM12 trades$1,3863 min
6/17/2026, 1:30:59 AM26 trades$65423 min
4/19/2026, 12:16:10 AM12 trades$6280 min
8/25/2026, 12:06:24 AM2 trades$5810 min
7/30/2026, 3:46:30 AM1 trades$3370 min
7/28/2026, 6:29:19 AM5 trades$3090 min
8/27/2026, 9:35:00 AM1 trades$2560 min
6/14/2026, 12:16:58 PM1 trades$2540 min
7/18/2026, 10:33:42 AM1 trades$1780 min
8/24/2026, 9:39:19 PM1 trades$1400 min
5/26/2026, 10:02:27 PM1 trades$1330 min
6/17/2026, 2:13:06 AM2 trades$1030 min
6/3/2026, 10:10:07 AM1 trades$880 min
7/13/2026, 4:17:35 PM3 trades$770 min
7/17/2026, 7:06:19 AM1 trades$500 min
7/1/2026, 3:10:19 PM1 trades$440 min
5/7/2026, 6:26:40 PM11 trades$3810 min
6/29/2026, 11:37:49 PM1 trades$350 min
6/1/2026, 2:13:48 AM3 trades$300 min
6/22/2026, 1:45:44 PM6 trades$265 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-11
06-17
06-22
06-23
06-28
06-29
07-01
07-03
07-06
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L39.2 / M3.8 / H56.9