@ColdMath
#1,492840x594edb9112f526fa6a80b8f858a6379c8a2c1c11
~192d· 2816 markets · 178716 tradesVol: $11,872,8822026-09-10 13:27:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
58% (1641/2815)14.1/20
2.15x (win $33,489 / loss $15,559)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.28415/15
Sortino 6.02210/10
$+0.0343 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 32 (2815 markets)10/10
142/189 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 31% of peak ($5,497 / $17,930)7.9/10
Badges
9Profitable
PnL $+135,300
Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
1% sells
DCA Master
Avg 6.4 entries/market
Whale
$522,748 invested
Consistent
142/189 profitable days
High Roller
$2,042/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
6🌤️ WEATHER#3$136,508Vol: $11,080,643
⚽ SPORTS#5,163$11,039Vol: $426,413
🎭 CULTURE#827,741$-7,585Vol: $310,418
🏛️ POLITICS#1,615,781$-540Vol: $40,000
₿ CRYPTO#1,611,871$-362Vol: $14,909
💻 TECH#198,078$-1Vol: $500
Overview
#1Net PnL
$139,059
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,872,882
Total Redeem
$37,476
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2816
total markets
Trades
16531B / 1538S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~192d
Periods
#2Today
$-189
Vol: $3,604
Week
$3,062
Vol: $79,063
Month
$3,609
Vol: $104,458
All Time
$139,059
Vol: $11,872,882
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
76%
4621W / 1480L events
Realized PnL
$135,300
Win Rate
76%
4621W / 1480L
Profit Factor
2.15x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-13
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,453 (0.08464754671463899% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$9,916
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 74°F or higher on January 29?$972
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$565
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 6?$516
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$426
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 1?$389
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on January 24?$381
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$378
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$371
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?$350
Top Losers
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$-3,380
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-3,160
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on April 29?$-528
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?$-459
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on February 27?$-393
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 29?$-306
Toronto FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5$-274
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on March 14?$-254
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on December 10?$-197
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 28?$-186
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.119
Sortino
0.164
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.034
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
6.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
698.1
Very active
Markets / Day
11.0
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
20.2m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
43.0
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 5.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock698 trades/day — automation11 markets/day — mass coverage8% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.42
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)57.1%
Mid (20-55c)5.6%
High (>55c)37.3%
Sessions
#125/11/2026, 2:47:43 PM11 trades$20,7010 min
3/29/2026, 12:12:06 AM1 trades$9,2140 min
5/5/2026, 2:55:24 PM53 trades$8,38728 min
3/25/2026, 3:42:03 PM22 trades$7,7904 min
3/19/2026, 7:13:01 AM316 trades$7,68962 min
2/11/2026, 8:20:13 AM23 trades$7,01515 min
6/21/2026, 12:19:01 PM9 trades$6,8220 min
2/24/2026, 5:46:24 PM4 trades$4,9094 min
5/5/2026, 12:03:56 PM50 trades$4,83318 min
5/5/2026, 8:25:48 AM40 trades$4,83216 min
2/13/2026, 11:20:09 AM1 trades$4,7180 min
5/5/2026, 6:04:46 PM23 trades$4,5748 min
12/29/2025, 9:40:03 PM2 trades$4,5442 min
4/29/2026, 12:45:46 PM86 trades$4,51513 min
5/5/2026, 7:05:54 AM89 trades$4,10240 min
3/27/2026, 7:14:55 AM294 trades$3,94089 min
12/27/2025, 5:23:01 PM1 trades$3,9390 min
5/5/2026, 10:40:30 AM7 trades$3,8777 min
6/4/2026, 6:59:10 AM24 trades$3,8473 min
3/12/2026, 3:56:57 PM156 trades$3,76171 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-09
12-29
01-29
03-01
04-01
05-03
06-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 32 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
74% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.42/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.1 / M5.6 / H37.3