@downtownvill

#2,814,6168

0x5969f8e1330cb985b5dc121b0972305de07f1f7e

~20d· 25 markets · 94 tradesVol: $38,3942026-10-08 02:53:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (7/18)4.4/20
0.14x (win $42 / loss $294)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.1660/15
Sortino -5.8880/10
$-0.0482 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2516 (18 markets)0/10
5/11 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($262 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

5
📈 ECONOMICS#632,203$-18Vol: $25,006
🏛️ POLITICS#1,583,837$-228Vol: $7,947
⚽ SPORTS#1,607,599$-45Vol: $4,604
🎭 CULTURE#604,441$-3Vol: $700
₿ CRYPTO#208,176$12Vol: $37

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-233
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,394
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
29B / 65S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$15
Vol: $5,596
All Time
$-233
Vol: $38,394

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
7W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-233
Win Rate
39%
7W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.14x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-33

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33 (0.14195407241764857% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$20
Liverpool wins the Premier League?$7
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$6
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$4
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$2
Will the USA win Gold in Women's Basketball?$2
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1

Top Losers

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154$-122
Will Kamala Harris be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$-100
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-29
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$-13
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$-12
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$-5
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$-5
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?$-5
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.308
Sortino
-0.196
HHI
32
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.310
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
11.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.6m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 1.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.17
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.3%
Mid (20-55c)17.2%
High (>55c)72.4%

Sessions

#12
3/28/2026, 11:29:33 AM4 trades$1,7081 min
9/14/2026, 10:58:21 AM10 trades$1,4360 min
9/19/2026, 8:10:19 AM12 trades$1,4070 min
9/18/2026, 8:00:49 AM9 trades$1,3772 min
9/11/2026, 7:51:54 AM6 trades$1,3420 min
9/16/2026, 7:54:31 AM12 trades$8380 min
7/16/2024, 10:53:22 AM4 trades$5281 min
3/26/2026, 12:24:29 PM6 trades$43610 min
7/27/2024, 7:26:07 AM6 trades$3111 min
9/7/2026, 1:33:58 PM5 trades$930 min
11/28/2024, 6:10:08 PM2 trades$820 min
11/26/2024, 1:47:25 PM1 trades$790 min
2/18/2025, 2:30:23 PM1 trades$400 min
9/12/2026, 3:23:24 PM1 trades$400 min
3/26/2026, 10:47:29 AM1 trades$350 min
5/11/2026, 2:35:21 PM2 trades$340 min
1/23/2025, 11:19:23 PM1 trades$250 min
3/26/2026, 3:23:07 AM1 trades$170 min
3/26/2026, 10:38:21 AM2 trades$151 min
3/26/2026, 10:58:25 AM2 trades$154 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-27
09-01
09-10
11-28
01-26
02-18
10-09
03-26
03-28
05-11
09-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.3 / M17.2 / H72.4