crazydrops

@crazydrops

#2,933,787100

0x5a5d9f16bfafe5c86b60481e4a4a9042b696909a

~107d· 122 markets · 537 tradesVol: $176,772 @HeyDrops2026-08-04 23:41:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (78/107)20/20
5.49x (win $9,482 / loss $1,728)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.70015/15
Sortino 33.91010/10
$+0.2114 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 428 (107 markets)10/10
45/65 profitable days (69%)9.8/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($884 / $8,072)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Consistent
45/65 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#754,768$-41Vol: $95,887
CRYPTO#1,387,396$-50Vol: $54,556
SPORTS#1,827,809$-1,013Vol: $18,841
💰 FINANCE#311,769$0Vol: $4,000
🏛️ POLITICS#98,288$42Vol: $3,339
💻 TECH#22,661$6Vol: $150

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,056
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$176,772
Total Redeem
$1,469
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
122
total markets
Trades
410B / 127S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~107d

Periods

#2
Today
$-11
Vol: $0
Week
$-72
Vol: $434
Month
$-8
Vol: $434
All Time
$-1,056
Vol: $176,772

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
78W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-1,056
Win Rate
73%
78W / 29L
Profit Factor
5.49x
Avg Win
$122
Avg Loss
$-62

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,663 (6.310972202490884% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2,728
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2,215
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$1,720
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?$505
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$410
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)$195
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$177
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$176
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$170
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?$131

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23?$-395
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-232
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$-159
Bitcoin above 70,800 on March 24, 12AM ET?$-148
T20 World Cup: England vs Nepal (Game 1)$-123
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$-103
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)$-87
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-86
Will India invade Pakistan before July?$-75
ZachXBT investigation post over 10M views on day one?$-52

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.244
Sortino
1.227
HHI
476
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.217
Kelly %
48.6%
Half-Kelly
24.3%
Top-1 market
16.6%
Top-5 markets
36.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 441s — normal for humanCV 1.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.59
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20%
Mid (20-55c)29.5%
High (>55c)50.5%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 3:35:37 PM4 trades$2,1351 min
12/20/2025, 5:47:36 AM2 trades$1,4971 min
3/22/2026, 12:32:53 PM3 trades$1,4974 min
5/17/2026, 10:07:02 PM3 trades$1,3800 min
12/30/2025, 12:35:13 PM1 trades$1,1860 min
5/18/2026, 9:11:03 AM11 trades$1,1589 min
5/22/2026, 8:40:08 AM6 trades$1,1400 min
12/15/2025, 4:50:59 PM1 trades$9840 min
5/22/2026, 7:25:50 PM3 trades$9712 min
12/6/2025, 2:00:03 PM2 trades$8962 min
12/30/2025, 5:10:23 AM1 trades$8450 min
11/27/2025, 4:55:15 AM1 trades$7810 min
3/22/2026, 4:38:53 PM4 trades$7509 min
11/4/2025, 5:26:59 AM1 trades$7070 min
11/2/2025, 9:54:43 AM1 trades$6930 min
3/27/2026, 8:53:57 AM1 trades$6830 min
10/31/2025, 4:29:39 AM1 trades$6690 min
3/22/2026, 9:53:53 AM18 trades$6399 min
11/3/2025, 3:01:55 PM1 trades$6230 min
1/1/2026, 5:16:47 AM2 trades$5991 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-14
06-14
11-27
01-19
03-12
04-05
05-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 48 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20 / M29.5 / H50.5