Rhoades

@Rhoades

#2,244,64940

0x5a87dc41f7d5df1e8ee32c8c06fb4b5991994ee0

~69d· 63 markets · 148 tradesVol: $8,1932026-09-10 22:02:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (25/61)5.5/20
1.31x (win $326 / loss $249)6.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.10515/15
Sortino 2.42910/10
$+0.0194 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 3640 (61 markets)0/10
17/44 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 222% of peak ($172 / $77)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#132,056$49Vol: $2,816
📈 ECONOMICS#493,000$-1Vol: $2,247
🎭 CULTURE#44,601$25Vol: $1,336
🏛️ POLITICS#1,340,940$-15Vol: $877
💻 TECH#257,291$-68Vol: $449
SPORTS#1,019,923$-1Vol: $93
📢 MENTIONS#16,929$15Vol: $69
💰 FINANCE#580,037$-10Vol: $25

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-30
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,193
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
63
total markets
Trades
91B / 57S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~69d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $259
Month
$6
Vol: $259
All Time
$-30
Vol: $8,193

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
25W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$-30
Win Rate
41%
25W / 36L
Profit Factor
1.31x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $226 (7.596709200805909% of PnL)

Top Winners

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$173
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$27
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$27
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?$23
US government shutdown Saturday?$9
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?$7
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?$6
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?$5
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$5
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?$5

Top Losers

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?$-67
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-50
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner$-23
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?$-20
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?$-15
Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?$-14
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?$-10
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?$-6
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$-5
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.057
Sortino
0.113
HHI
4951
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.016
Kelly %
28.7%
Half-Kelly
14.3%
Top-1 market
66.5%
Top-5 markets
108.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1068s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.23
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.7%
Mid (20-55c)26.4%
High (>55c)44%

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 11:01:07 AM4 trades$9442 min
4/1/2026, 5:43:13 AM4 trades$7810 min
4/13/2026, 1:45:21 PM2 trades$4640 min
4/13/2026, 2:15:53 PM2 trades$4630 min
10/23/2025, 12:22:37 PM1 trades$4500 min
10/23/2025, 12:38:27 PM1 trades$4450 min
10/22/2025, 8:00:45 PM2 trades$4400 min
10/22/2025, 8:11:17 PM1 trades$4400 min
4/23/2026, 3:40:34 PM4 trades$3890 min
4/30/2026, 6:26:34 PM1 trades$2490 min
3/31/2026, 12:32:17 PM2 trades$1850 min
9/6/2026, 3:02:48 PM8 trades$1630 min
3/30/2026, 8:06:18 AM1 trades$1620 min
3/16/2026, 6:41:33 AM1 trades$1170 min
3/16/2026, 2:34:27 PM2 trades$1052 min
3/4/2026, 9:02:03 AM1 trades$990 min
3/14/2026, 11:10:57 PM1 trades$900 min
3/20/2026, 12:12:25 AM1 trades$800 min
3/5/2026, 1:47:31 PM2 trades$785 min
3/2/2026, 1:08:13 PM1 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-08
12-05
01-20
08-04
11-06
03-03
04-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.7 / M26.4 / H44