@Last.Eugene

#3,096,6004

0x5ced9667784a2c1f44620e76abd4d156954f2c7e

~57d· 97 markets · 1386 tradesVol: $213,5542026-09-10 22:08:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (27/96)0/20
0.23x (win $3,997 / loss $17,645)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3710/15
Sortino -6.1640/10
$-0.5215 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1758 (96 markets)3.7/10
13/46 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 16861% of peak ($14,042 / $83)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🎭 CULTURE#86,230$6Vol: $127,299
🏛️ POLITICS#1,648,237$-4,249Vol: $85,726
💰 FINANCE#39,974$22Vol: $530

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,221
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$213,554
Total Redeem
$1,519
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
97
total markets
Trades
365B / 1021S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $0
Week
$-14
Vol: $460
Month
$-11
Vol: $889
All Time
$-4,221
Vol: $213,554

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
27W / 69L events
Realized PnL
$-4,221
Win Rate
28%
27W / 69L
Profit Factor
0.23x
Avg Win
$148
Avg Loss
$-289

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,277 (0.539362206216831% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$945
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$738
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$594
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$293
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$178
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$151
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$145
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$123
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$114
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$104

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-3,488
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$-2,514
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-2,000
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-1,720
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,200
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$-925
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?$-898
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-504
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-465
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-460

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.330
Sortino
-0.296
HHI
443
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.454
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
35.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
22.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1358s — normal for humanCV 1.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.52
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.5%
Mid (20-55c)16.7%
High (>55c)48.8%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 4:40:19 PM4 trades$40,5462 min
4/26/2026, 8:53:02 AM18 trades$4,6570 min
6/16/2026, 8:03:48 AM6 trades$4,2502 min
6/17/2026, 10:09:50 AM4 trades$2,4720 min
6/11/2026, 6:24:18 PM4 trades$2,4585 min
5/6/2026, 2:49:31 PM24 trades$1,8552 min
6/17/2026, 9:45:55 AM2 trades$1,5790 min
4/2/2026, 1:53:45 PM4 trades$1,4301 min
6/15/2026, 7:54:46 PM17 trades$1,2193 min
6/15/2026, 4:46:55 PM8 trades$1,0971 min
6/25/2026, 3:56:10 PM26 trades$1,0671 min
4/2/2026, 2:17:05 PM5 trades$9911 min
5/15/2026, 2:38:20 PM3 trades$9450 min
5/6/2026, 3:13:47 PM13 trades$9040 min
6/26/2026, 2:22:33 PM2 trades$8990 min
4/1/2026, 1:11:35 PM9 trades$7405 min
6/21/2026, 1:34:59 PM7 trades$7060 min
4/2/2026, 7:36:57 PM8 trades$6912 min
6/14/2026, 10:02:07 PM33 trades$67215 min
6/10/2026, 2:57:42 PM13 trades$6550 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
04-26
05-16
05-27
06-12
06-21
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 78 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.5 / M16.7 / H48.8