Odinsdottir

@Odinsdottir

#157,44961

0x5d01cba00924c04d795b430d11bf2c8a74be6ca9

~68d· 56 markets · 479 tradesVol: $30,3972026-10-08 03:59:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (18/40)7.5/20
1.60x (win $2,467 / loss $1,540)10/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.98615/15
Sortino 4.76110/10
$+0.1505 per $1 invested7.5/10
HHI 1087 (40 markets)7.1/10
13/28 profitable days (46%)4.1/10
Max DD 93% of peak ($1,029 / $1,107)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+239
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 10.9 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,601,405$-352Vol: $16,993
📈 ECONOMICS#4,356$572Vol: $12,174
💰 FINANCE#24,594$56Vol: $489

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$239
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,397
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
56
total markets
Trades
234B / 245S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $1,001
Week
$-45
Vol: $1,001
Month
$-22
Vol: $1,651
All Time
$239
Vol: $30,397

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
18W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$239
Win Rate
46%
18W / 21L
Profit Factor
1.6x
Avg Win
$137
Avg Loss
$-77

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,026 (8.478632120882342% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$1,492
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$312
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?$222
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?$91
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$61
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$58
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$55
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$54
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$30
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?$29

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-539
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$-249
Fed rate hike in 2026?$-152
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$-136
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$-117
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$-83
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$-67
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$-64
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$-44
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?$-27

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.102
Sortino
0.206
HHI
1128
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.174
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30%
Top-5 markets
54.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 700s — normal for humanCV 2.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.88
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.7%
Mid (20-55c)24.4%
High (>55c)26.9%

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 5:41:58 PM2 trades$1,1500 min
10/7/2026, 9:35:00 AM2 trades$1,0010 min
5/16/2026, 10:33:12 AM5 trades$8033 min
4/27/2026, 10:51:10 PM9 trades$6620 min
5/12/2026, 11:35:46 PM20 trades$61114 min
5/29/2026, 2:29:04 PM2 trades$5780 min
5/7/2026, 6:02:29 AM7 trades$4282 min
7/3/2026, 12:38:59 PM2 trades$4000 min
4/12/2026, 10:58:13 AM4 trades$3990 min
4/17/2026, 4:11:02 PM3 trades$3880 min
6/12/2026, 5:39:40 PM2 trades$3560 min
9/4/2026, 4:19:45 PM4 trades$3424 min
8/10/2026, 4:08:58 PM3 trades$3400 min
9/19/2026, 1:27:06 PM4 trades$3030 min
4/3/2026, 6:27:27 PM2 trades$3000 min
6/17/2026, 10:05:19 AM2 trades$3000 min
8/28/2026, 9:54:24 PM6 trades$2961 min
4/11/2026, 10:27:29 PM16 trades$26710 min
5/21/2026, 11:17:01 PM5 trades$2625 min
5/21/2026, 9:07:27 PM3 trades$2540 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
03-20
04-02
04-17
04-30
05-23
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 37 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.88/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.7 / M24.4 / H26.9