@arongarongarong

#2,76655

0x5d5a68ba12cf0264ea2dab626d99abb9a71c4289

~77d· 1759 markets · 51044 tradesVol: $3,708,811 @luckycall03282026-08-02 07:58:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (843/1682)10.1/20
1.07x (win $539,422 / loss $504,861)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.51115/15
Sortino 2.30910/10
$+0.0423 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 37 (1682 markets)10/10
37/76 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 104% of peak ($59,665 / $57,237)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+66,140
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 29.7 entries/market
Whale
$816,243 invested
High Roller
$7,488/day
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#4,378$11,120Vol: $973,323
SPORTS#1,873,772$-7,351Vol: $720,924
🏛️ POLITICS#10,739$2,279Vol: $84,525
🎭 CULTURE#5,758$822Vol: $58,977
💰 FINANCE#651,721$-796Vol: $19,020
💻 TECH#255,116$-500Vol: $1,139
📈 ECONOMICS#14,515$76Vol: $754
📢 MENTIONS#169,051$-206Vol: $396
🌤️ WEATHER#102,505$0Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$66,140
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,708,811
Total Redeem
$178,638
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1759
total markets
Trades
14943B / 36101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2,239
Vol: $13,208
Week
$12,433
Vol: $13,208
Month
$4,179
Vol: $152,382
All Time
$66,140
Vol: $3,708,811

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
842W / 839L events
Realized PnL
$66,140
Win Rate
50%
842W / 839L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$640
Avg Loss
$-630

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,215 (0.3963598048454795% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group$12,610
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$7,215
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$6,390
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner$5,719
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 1 Winner$5,225
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5,167
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 2 Winner$4,529
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$4,206
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$4,089
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$4,028

Top Losers

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-10,198
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner$-5,738
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner$-5,021
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-27?$-4,664
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$-4,078
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?$-4,011
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$-4,000
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$-4,000
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$-4,000
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$-3,998

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.079
Sortino
0.107
HHI
22
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.043
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
5.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
468.3
Very active
Markets / Day
16.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
37s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.3m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
251.7

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 37s — normal for humanCV 3.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock468 trades/day — automation16 markets/day — mass coverage29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.71
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.7%
Mid (20-55c)50.5%
High (>55c)41.8%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 1:53:58 AM491 trades$58,0776 min
4/28/2026, 1:21:40 AM690 trades$41,58922 min
4/29/2026, 6:45:04 AM182 trades$30,4180 min
4/26/2026, 1:52:58 AM468 trades$16,55623 min
4/30/2026, 2:49:10 PM974 trades$16,23533 min
4/26/2026, 4:21:38 PM551 trades$15,22532 min
7/31/2026, 9:41:24 AM57 trades$14,9022 min
5/15/2026, 1:29:46 PM29 trades$14,5705 min
4/25/2026, 9:27:46 AM586 trades$14,46728 min
5/11/2026, 1:04:10 AM16 trades$14,1412 min
4/29/2026, 10:56:54 PM606 trades$14,08434 min
4/25/2026, 7:15:10 PM212 trades$12,81933 min
4/29/2026, 4:06:52 PM538 trades$11,83818 min
8/1/2026, 7:41:24 PM211 trades$11,43725 min
4/27/2026, 1:53:38 PM678 trades$11,09215 min
5/12/2026, 6:38:33 AM106 trades$10,58565 min
5/14/2026, 7:19:25 AM83 trades$9,95625 min
4/26/2026, 12:20:04 PM28 trades$9,7330 min
5/27/2026, 8:54:28 PM2 trades$9,7000 min
4/30/2026, 3:35:44 PM467 trades$9,45013 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-16
05-02
05-14
05-26
06-07
07-17
07-30
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.7 / M50.5 / H41.8