@arbandy

#3,070,32613

0x5eb0cd907aa0b7b4df11552e817570e265ea5012

~142d· 577 markets · 30102 tradesVol: $13,852,3482026-08-02 05:17:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (190/572)1.6/20
0.68x (win $322,190 / loss $475,482)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5890/15
Sortino -5.4570/10
$-0.1295 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 119 (572 markets)10/10
37/108 profitable days (34%)1.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($153,291 / $0)0/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20
Whale
$1,184,167 invested
High Roller
$1,816/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,673,063$-46,509Vol: $5,561,896
🎭 CULTURE#814,305$-3,228Vol: $2,524,491
SPORTS#1,881,145$-48,969Vol: $2,361,336
🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,901$-16,949Vol: $2,203,705
💰 FINANCE#655,299$-2,223Vol: $365,088
💻 TECH#258,164$-10,461Vol: $309,085
📈 ECONOMICS#679,123$-1,417Vol: $80,759
🌤️ WEATHER#296,877$-970Vol: $9,999
📢 MENTIONS#141,074$-19Vol: $1,684

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-141,214
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,852,348
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
577
total markets
Trades
25163B / 4939S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~142d

Periods

#2
Week
$-881
Vol: $0
Month
$-71
Vol: $0
All Time
$-141,214
Vol: $13,852,348

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
190W / 382L events
Realized PnL
$-141,214
Win Rate
33%
190W / 382L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$1,696
Avg Loss
$-1,258

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $48,646 (0.34448721485813866% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$17,256
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?$17,000
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 14?$14,391
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$13,714
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 20?$12,920
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?$11,779
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$11,277
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$10,235
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?$7,244
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$7,201

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-16,488
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-14,696
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-11,848
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$-7,472
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1$-7,360
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$-7,246
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-6,970
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$-5,828
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$-5,447
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?$-5,404

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.239
Sortino
-0.315
HHI
59
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.133
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
9.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
46.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.9m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
27 min
Avg Trades / Session
170.9

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 5.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock46 trades/day — high frequency0.9 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
52.02
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.3%
Mid (20-55c)25.2%
High (>55c)14.5%

Sessions

#12
11/5/2025, 2:20:41 AM241 trades$86,03976 min
5/14/2026, 3:29:20 PM36 trades$52,8528 min
5/14/2026, 7:46:38 PM412 trades$45,12319 min
5/14/2026, 4:05:54 PM276 trades$39,3422 min
1/14/2026, 7:23:32 PM33 trades$34,06220 min
11/24/2025, 7:50:15 PM110 trades$30,99145 min
11/9/2025, 10:25:25 AM930 trades$27,392217 min
11/24/2025, 6:28:55 PM31 trades$26,85935 min
5/14/2026, 4:50:46 PM234 trades$24,02216 min
11/20/2025, 4:05:59 PM132 trades$23,93240 min
5/14/2026, 6:56:26 PM1288 trades$22,92029 min
1/14/2026, 4:43:16 PM29 trades$22,67014 min
12/2/2025, 4:40:38 PM34 trades$20,64216 min
12/3/2025, 10:12:05 AM48 trades$20,18537 min
11/21/2025, 1:59:49 PM37 trades$19,93024 min
7/18/2026, 8:57:28 PM13 trades$19,7040 min
6/6/2026, 3:09:52 AM17 trades$18,8162 min
5/14/2026, 3:43:28 PM38 trades$17,26411 min
11/29/2025, 2:49:47 PM3 trades$16,5757 min
5/14/2026, 5:12:28 PM1319 trades$15,87138 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
11-10
11-28
12-28
01-24
03-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 52.02/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.3 / M25.2 / H14.5