@writtensmoke
#83,287720x5f1d2dd97566988e55115be75b352ffef2a6c41d
~84d· 265 markets · 1016 tradesVol: $58,0882026-08-23 14:28:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (137/264)10.9/20
1.51x (win $4,465 / loss $2,964)8.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.79015/15
Sortino 8.04310/10
$+0.1157 per $1 invested5.8/10
HHI 109 (264 markets)10/10
37/78 profitable days (47%)4.4/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($534 / $1,651)7.5/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+666
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#1,712$988Vol: $58,088
Overview
#1Net PnL
$988
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$58,088
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
265
total markets
Trades
403B / 613S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~84d
Periods
#2Today
$-3
Vol: $581
Week
$-74
Vol: $581
Month
$185
Vol: $17,504
All Time
$988
Vol: $58,088
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
137W / 127L events
Realized PnL
$666
Win Rate
52%
137W / 127L
Profit Factor
1.51x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-24
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,222 (1.834161649224486% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 28?$868
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?$178
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on February 25?$175
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 12?$172
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on November 13?$141
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 12?$130
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 12?$116
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 14?$99
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 12?$79
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 23?$73
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 26?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 15?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13?$-163
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 22?$-100
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 27?$-100
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?$-100
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on February 27?$-95
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13?$-89
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 15?$-80
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 13?$-80
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.145
Sortino
0.389
HHI
89
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.116
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
10.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
25.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1556s — normal for humanCV 1.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.84
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)26.1%
Mid (20-55c)28.5%
High (>55c)45.4%
Sessions
#125/16/2026, 8:31:50 AM64 trades$1,0384 min
1/28/2026, 4:38:48 PM1 trades$9760 min
5/14/2026, 7:04:39 AM84 trades$7885 min
8/3/2026, 7:07:51 AM36 trades$6680 min
5/12/2026, 3:44:21 PM15 trades$6204 min
5/13/2026, 10:05:14 AM32 trades$5222 min
5/15/2026, 6:27:08 AM38 trades$4744 min
6/13/2026, 1:05:03 PM19 trades$4592 min
5/16/2026, 2:27:44 PM4 trades$4520 min
5/13/2026, 10:22:47 PM21 trades$4340 min
5/16/2026, 3:01:11 PM12 trades$3960 min
5/12/2026, 10:49:25 AM35 trades$3932 min
5/12/2026, 7:40:26 AM31 trades$3796 min
5/12/2026, 9:27:03 PM17 trades$3705 min
5/13/2026, 6:45:58 AM31 trades$3192 min
5/12/2026, 11:07:24 AM23 trades$2952 min
5/15/2026, 1:25:18 PM4 trades$2900 min
5/13/2026, 10:41:27 PM11 trades$2860 min
5/13/2026, 8:37:45 PM2 trades$2830 min
5/14/2026, 4:09:01 PM7 trades$2820 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-22
10-24
11-06
12-23
01-10
02-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 101 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.1 / M28.5 / H45.4