dpnd

@dpnd

#5,88414

0x5f211a24da4c005d9438a1ea269673b85ed0b376

~531d· 14723 markets · 420813 tradesVol: $14,658,351 @dpnd_poly2026-08-04 20:45:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (3006/14692)0/20
0.94x (win $46,817 / loss $49,547)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8130/15
Sortino -1.1410/10
$-0.0370 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 10 (14692 markets)10/10
180/448 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 22837% of peak ($3,460 / $15)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+28,139
Lottery Player
73% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
1% sells
Whale
$73,782 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#82$19,878Vol: $14,091,835
₿ CRYPTO#143,419$37Vol: $166,887
⚽ SPORTS#5,523$9,735Vol: $114,468
💰 FINANCE#657,468$-3,761Vol: $101,923
🏛️ POLITICS#11,232$2,098Vol: $91,217
💻 TECH#224,717$-9Vol: $34,250
🎭 CULTURE#26,458$66Vol: $9,381
📈 ECONOMICS#450,974$-1Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$28,139
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,658,351
Total Redeem
$100,896
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14723
total markets
Trades
37972B / 4103S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~531d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $20
Month
$1
Vol: $20
All Time
$28,139
Vol: $14,658,351

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
4372W / 19110L events
Realized PnL
$28,139
Win Rate
19%
4372W / 19110L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,483 (0.08822773703328184% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on May 12?$1,129
Will $BTC reach 70k in July?$745
No Solana all time high in 2024?$609
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?$540
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on April 5?$333
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?$322
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 6?$299
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 14?$283
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 5?$271
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 1?$255

Top Losers

2024 July hottest on record?$-1,047
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15?$-899
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023?$-477
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 61-62°F on April 17?$-333
NVIDIA largest company before June 15?$-332
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?$-310
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?$-301
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$-219
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$-208
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on February 24?$-207

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.043
Sortino
-0.052
HHI
10
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
4.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
415.0
Very active
Markets / Day
14.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.1m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 110s — normal for humanCV 4.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock415 trades/day — automation15 markets/day — mass coverage10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.85
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)73.3%
Mid (20-55c)21.7%
High (>55c)5.1%

Sessions

#12
8/1/2024, 8:25:43 PM2 trades$8614 min
2/27/2024, 4:23:22 PM2 trades$7160 min
12/18/2023, 9:37:08 PM1 trades$5950 min
7/31/2025, 8:07:06 AM1 trades$5470 min
3/1/2024, 4:00:14 PM1 trades$5030 min
5/8/2025, 3:00:32 PM2 trades$4931 min
5/14/2024, 6:29:44 PM1 trades$4140 min
4/16/2026, 12:46:50 PM1 trades$3330 min
12/19/2023, 8:50:40 PM2 trades$3051 min
2/26/2024, 5:56:07 PM1 trades$2930 min
6/9/2024, 9:07:38 PM1 trades$2900 min
5/22/2024, 2:13:32 PM2 trades$2880 min
3/30/2026, 11:56:56 AM18 trades$26923 min
6/11/2024, 9:24:46 PM1 trades$2670 min
2/24/2024, 6:41:25 PM1 trades$2610 min
1/21/2026, 8:10:38 PM2 trades$2551 min
2/20/2026, 2:57:02 PM1 trades$2520 min
7/28/2024, 9:26:58 AM2 trades$2441 min
4/26/2026, 5:18:00 PM24 trades$23923 min
4/26/2026, 5:59:50 AM109 trades$238113 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-15
07-07
05-05
08-25
12-11
03-06
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 484 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
62% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.85/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L73.3 / M21.7 / H5.1