Cherubim

@Cherubim

#3,139,9150

0x5fbfbf3e11a09812b2dffc4b46daa0d0483941f8

~31d· 16 markets · 233 tradesVol: $244,6132026-09-17 10:08:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (2/11)0/20
0.00x (win $124 / loss $63,746)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.0870/15
Sortino -8.9200/10
$-1.0976 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4461 (11 markets)0/10
0/7 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($63,622 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
68% entries < $0.55
Whale
$57,967 invested

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,660,525$-25,608Vol: $243,839
SPORTS#1,666,488$-75Vol: $774

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-25,683
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$244,613
Total Redeem
$53
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
16
total markets
Trades
114B / 119S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Week
$-640
Vol: $0
Month
$-265
Vol: $18,815
All Time
$-25,683
Vol: $244,613

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
2W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-25,044
Win Rate
18%
2W / 9L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$62
Avg Loss
$-7,083

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $124 (0.0049581510013931695% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$85
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$39

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-46,701
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-10,264
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-3,732
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-1,728
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$-813
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-171
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$-149
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?$-121
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$-67

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.489
Sortino
-0.489
HHI
4033
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-1.113
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
60.1%
Top-5 markets
93.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 790s — normal for humanCV 1.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.91
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.1%
Mid (20-55c)40.4%
High (>55c)31.6%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 10:12:05 AM5 trades$29,9250 min
4/7/2026, 4:05:31 PM52 trades$27,6361 min
9/6/2026, 11:34:57 PM10 trades$11,0290 min
6/28/2026, 12:24:08 PM3 trades$7,0970 min
6/28/2026, 3:19:31 PM2 trades$6,9150 min
9/8/2026, 2:20:39 AM9 trades$4,6460 min
4/7/2026, 3:54:43 PM10 trades$4,5953 min
4/24/2026, 12:34:22 PM8 trades$4,0161 min
4/7/2026, 2:14:43 PM18 trades$3,9880 min
4/7/2026, 3:14:05 PM4 trades$3,8361 min
9/17/2025, 1:05:42 PM3 trades$3,5457 min
9/17/2025, 3:33:26 PM3 trades$3,2386 min
9/17/2025, 12:54:40 PM1 trades$2,7790 min
1/31/2025, 10:25:44 AM1 trades$2,2300 min
9/17/2025, 1:56:18 PM1 trades$2,1960 min
5/13/2026, 1:30:10 PM10 trades$2,0152 min
2/10/2026, 4:54:21 PM2 trades$1,6631 min
1/14/2025, 12:43:29 AM1 trades$1,6370 min
1/30/2025, 11:17:04 AM1 trades$1,3770 min
1/3/2026, 12:43:47 PM1 trades$1,0790 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-05
09-17
01-25
02-10
04-07
04-24
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.91/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L28.1 / M40.4 / H31.6