@bigmaw

#35,19967

0x5ff84b0e40b8bb7a189118f49ba7b8f74fab973d

~34d· 69 markets · 580 tradesVol: $90,0762026-10-03 05:53:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (13/62)0/20
3.35x (win $28,094 / loss $8,390)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.61115/15
Sortino 30.36210/10
$+1.7432 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1200 (62 markets)6.5/10
6/26 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($4,067 / $23,771)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+3,285
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 17%

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#7,806$3,719Vol: $88,516
⚽ SPORTS#1,757,163$-154Vol: $799
📈 ECONOMICS#687,124$-280Vol: $761

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,285
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$90,076
Total Redeem
$3,687
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
69
total markets
Trades
192B / 388S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $0
Week
$-19
Vol: $0
Month
$-215
Vol: $3,309
All Time
$3,285
Vol: $90,076

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
13W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$3,285
Win Rate
21%
13W / 49L
Profit Factor
3.35x
Avg Win
$2,161
Avg Loss
$-171

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,338 (7.408714551852619% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$12,616
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$9,525
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2,197
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$1,005
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$942
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$480
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$433
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$269
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$255
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$213

Top Losers

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-1,400
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-800
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$-698
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-668
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$-541
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-400
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$-337
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?$-298
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?$-253
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$-216

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.237
Sortino
1.576
HHI
842
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.384
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.9%
Top-5 markets
56.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 65s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.11
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55.7%
Mid (20-55c)34.9%
High (>55c)9.4%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 3:20:03 AM2 trades$7,7510 min
5/4/2026, 8:06:08 AM102 trades$7,65316 min
4/17/2026, 1:32:54 PM36 trades$5,4539 min
4/7/2026, 2:27:25 PM29 trades$5,1137 min
5/23/2026, 1:35:19 PM61 trades$3,01415 min
9/11/2026, 12:45:54 PM53 trades$2,88712 min
5/13/2026, 6:06:17 AM10 trades$2,5403 min
4/7/2026, 2:43:15 PM7 trades$2,4590 min
6/19/2026, 12:36:23 AM16 trades$1,4952 min
5/23/2026, 1:28:44 PM17 trades$1,2591 min
6/12/2026, 1:36:51 AM32 trades$1,2394 min
4/12/2026, 1:00:41 PM8 trades$1,1184 min
5/28/2026, 7:16:11 AM25 trades$1,0195 min
4/10/2026, 8:15:59 AM26 trades$8294 min
12/4/2025, 12:28:17 PM7 trades$7308 min
4/24/2026, 1:06:42 PM26 trades$5904 min
4/13/2026, 8:09:45 AM20 trades$5532 min
3/31/2026, 9:50:13 AM4 trades$5312 min
1/7/2026, 1:25:33 PM5 trades$4932 min
4/17/2026, 1:47:32 PM16 trades$4280 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-04
03-04
03-31
04-10
04-19
05-13
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 73 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.11/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.7 / M34.9 / H9.4