JosephofEgypt

@JosephofEgypt

#3,028,5350

0x6062a52aa0bbd83a1ca11af2e950d506906a92dc

~94d· 29 markets · 2008 tradesVol: $1,089,9352026-08-02 04:11:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (6/22)0/20
0.04x (win $58 / loss $1,304)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.8020/15
Sortino -7.2280/10
$-0.0788 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5020 (22 markets)0/10
2/13 profitable days (15%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,268 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
97% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,626,655$-2,472Vol: $772,574
📈 ECONOMICS#677,706$-952Vol: $288,198
CRYPTO#1,523,160$-180Vol: $26,051
SPORTS#1,646,184$-78Vol: $2,931
🌤️ WEATHER#225,577$-5Vol: $181

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,686
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,089,935
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
1565B / 443S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~94d

Periods

#2
Today
$233
Vol: $0
Week
$-2,677
Vol: $0
Month
$-1,804
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,686
Vol: $1,089,935

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
6W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-3,686
Win Rate
27%
6W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-81

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53 (0.014296410434480666% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January?$28
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$22
Spread: New Mexico State Aggies (-1.5)$3
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-02?$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$2
CEHL: Karlovy Vary vs. Dynamo Pardubice$1

Top Losers

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-899
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?$-101
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?$-76
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-60
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$-39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-39
Will XRP reach $2.10 February 9-15?$-39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?$-25
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?$-8
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.392
Sortino
-0.352
HHI
1343
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.132
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33%
Top-5 markets
57.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.7m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
13.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 173s — normal for humanCV 13.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.27
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)97.4%
Mid (20-55c)0.6%
High (>55c)2%

Sessions

#12
4/13/2026, 1:33:27 AM4 trades$5,2551 min
4/11/2026, 6:04:39 PM2 trades$5,1940 min
5/12/2026, 2:01:45 AM41 trades$3,0281 min
4/11/2026, 5:55:05 PM32 trades$1,9510 min
4/23/2026, 5:39:10 PM18 trades$1,5400 min
6/11/2026, 9:30:42 AM26 trades$1,4920 min
5/10/2026, 1:46:18 AM19 trades$1,0000 min
4/25/2026, 7:02:22 PM18 trades$9551 min
7/17/2026, 10:01:58 PM11 trades$8453 min
7/8/2026, 5:52:46 PM33 trades$8102 min
4/30/2026, 1:35:20 AM14 trades$6944 min
4/13/2026, 2:28:59 AM16 trades$6744 min
7/6/2026, 7:58:47 PM20 trades$6421 min
5/21/2026, 9:19:56 PM30 trades$6214 min
7/30/2026, 9:23:26 PM15 trades$5564 min
7/17/2026, 4:38:33 PM19 trades$4983 min
7/11/2026, 11:20:19 AM16 trades$4871 min
4/20/2026, 6:04:06 AM21 trades$4430 min
2/26/2026, 2:47:10 PM7 trades$3785 min
7/23/2026, 3:33:15 AM9 trades$3750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-02
01-21
02-14
02-16
02-26
04-11
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.27/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L97.4 / M0.6 / H2