@0x619DC4…3461

#81,43131

0x619dc40631c5f78606d17ed1528d62898096b31c

~146d· 688 markets · 3495 tradesVol: $114,7792026-10-03 14:56:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (263/681)4.3/20
1.04x (win $2,172 / loss $2,094)3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2785.2/15
Sortino 0.5525.5/10
$+0.0102 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 310 (681 markets)10/10
49/127 profitable days (39%)2.1/10
Max DD 186% of peak ($488 / $262)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+214
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#19,326$909Vol: $52,070
📢 MENTIONS#40,027$1Vol: $30,083
🎭 CULTURE#12,469$240Vol: $17,529
₿ CRYPTO#1,554,770$-168Vol: $9,777
⚽ SPORTS#1,342,308$-9Vol: $1,723
📈 ECONOMICS#652,438$-34Vol: $1,135
💻 TECH#9,932$42Vol: $721
💰 FINANCE#585,236$-11Vol: $612
🌤️ WEATHER#202,050$-2Vol: $460

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$982
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$114,779
Total Redeem
$6
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
688
total markets
Trades
1818B / 1677S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~146d

Periods

#2
Today
$52
Vol: $228
Week
$312
Vol: $2,184
Month
$922
Vol: $13,890
All Time
$982
Vol: $114,779

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
263W / 418L events
Realized PnL
$214
Win Rate
39%
263W / 418L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $553 (2.588328962158112% of PnL)

Top Winners

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$332
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$115
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?$105
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$70
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$69
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$62
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?$61
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$40

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-127
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?$-93
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-83
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-82
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$-62
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$-60
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-59
Will Trump say "Paper" during Chinese State Banquet?$-55
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$-53
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.015
Sortino
0.029
HHI
200
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
23.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 282s — normal for humanCV 2.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.56
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.6%
Mid (20-55c)37.6%
High (>55c)31.8%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 6:46:16 PM4 trades$1,0004 min
4/26/2026, 12:35:58 AM25 trades$7227 min
4/4/2026, 12:44:29 AM2 trades$5000 min
4/5/2026, 10:47:35 AM2 trades$5000 min
4/27/2026, 8:10:26 PM2 trades$4030 min
4/27/2026, 11:02:58 PM2 trades$3330 min
4/30/2026, 12:05:10 AM4 trades$2600 min
4/28/2026, 9:46:00 PM3 trades$2430 min
4/2/2026, 4:22:23 PM29 trades$23112 min
4/19/2026, 1:28:30 PM20 trades$2281 min
5/29/2026, 3:08:41 PM6 trades$2144 min
5/1/2026, 8:56:54 PM4 trades$2032 min
4/8/2026, 11:37:23 PM2 trades$2010 min
2/26/2026, 1:18:20 AM39 trades$19833 min
4/15/2026, 7:17:10 PM12 trades$1962 min
2/27/2026, 1:51:54 AM18 trades$18425 min
3/6/2026, 5:05:51 PM15 trades$17829 min
4/30/2026, 8:14:20 PM2 trades$1670 min
8/1/2026, 4:24:45 AM2 trades$1670 min
8/1/2026, 1:46:29 PM2 trades$1670 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
03-19
04-09
05-06
05-31
07-07
08-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 37 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.56/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30.6 / M37.6 / H31.8