@arbadg
#3,039,051400x61ca4f40bc9ad780d4ef0d04e0fea97e7584a1b4
~75d· 1322 markets · 3560 tradesVol: $1,157,4632026-08-02 05:18:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
80% (1057/1316)20/20
1.09x (win $9,532 / loss $8,773)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2965.5/15
Sortino 0.6906.9/10
$+0.0264 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 4375 (1316 markets)0/10
24/61 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 84% of peak ($3,926 / $4,685)0/10
Badges
3Sniper
Win rate 80%
Win Streak
30 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#1,866,396$-3,706Vol: $640,422
🏛️ POLITICS#1,190,607$-6Vol: $321,296
🌤️ WEATHER#296,268$-805Vol: $72,622
₿ CRYPTO#1,570,994$-358Vol: $59,777
🎭 CULTURE#779,956$-100Vol: $55,051
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-4,985
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,157,463
Total Redeem
$6,582
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1322
total markets
Trades
1844B / 1716S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~75d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-7
Vol: $0
Month
$7
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,985
Vol: $1,157,463
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
80%
1057W / 259L events
Realized PnL
$-4,985
Win Rate
80%
1057W / 259L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-39
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,620 (1.3279338988864795% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?$5,530
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$893
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$197
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria?$123
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$103
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals$91
Jets vs. Blue Jackets$88
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$82
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 England?$82
Houston Astros vs. Athletics$70
Top Losers
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-2,365
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$-530
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$-400
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?$-372
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$-336
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$-282
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-275
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$-201
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-153
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Draw at halftime?$-114
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.015
Sortino
0.030
HHI
167
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.032
Kelly %
52.1%
Half-Kelly
26.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
26.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
30.4
Active
Markets / Day
11.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.7m
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.4
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 690s — normal for humanCV 3.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock30 trades/day — high frequency11 markets/day — mass coverage50% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.5
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)12.5%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)81.5%
Sessions
#127/5/2026, 9:13:55 AM3 trades$100,0000 min
7/7/2026, 8:13:14 PM2 trades$100,0000 min
7/8/2026, 12:07:14 AM2 trades$100,0000 min
7/5/2026, 4:24:22 AM2 trades$50,0000 min
7/5/2026, 3:55:37 PM3 trades$50,0000 min
7/5/2026, 10:27:01 PM4 trades$50,0000 min
7/7/2026, 9:23:14 PM2 trades$50,0000 min
7/7/2026, 11:16:35 PM2 trades$50,0000 min
7/4/2026, 9:08:56 AM6 trades$40,0002 min
7/4/2026, 2:34:13 PM5 trades$20,0001 min
7/4/2026, 2:46:44 AM29 trades$6,9003 min
4/4/2026, 11:24:05 AM40 trades$4,2241 min
4/16/2026, 1:58:58 AM54 trades$2,0932 min
4/5/2026, 4:36:37 AM8 trades$2,0728 min
7/8/2026, 8:09:13 AM3 trades$2,0000 min
6/29/2026, 7:05:44 PM9 trades$1,7030 min
5/3/2026, 8:34:52 PM2 trades$1,6322 min
6/9/2026, 2:34:40 PM7 trades$1,4431 min
5/13/2026, 1:33:38 AM5 trades$1,3520 min
6/16/2026, 2:22:01 AM2 trades$1,2490 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-25
05-27
06-10
06-20
07-01
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.5 / M6.1 / H81.5