@doc.holliday
#3,056,870110x6239c6146935f5e5e3c08b88c25997997935c6b4
~189d· 723 markets · 16987 tradesVol: $1,399,6322026-08-05 01:18:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
26% (185/723)0/20
0.87x (win $33,542 / loss $38,465)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3280/15
Sortino -1.9690/10
$-0.0788 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 72 (723 markets)10/10
36/124 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 2529% of peak ($6,158 / $243)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
66% entries < $0.20
Whale
$62,439 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3₿ CRYPTO#1,672,928$-9,089Vol: $1,374,288
⚽ SPORTS#62,189$412Vol: $18,129
💰 FINANCE#645,250$-273Vol: $7,216
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-8,951
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,399,632
Total Redeem
$1,711
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
723
total markets
Trades
9979B / 7008S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~189d
Periods
#2Today
$221
Vol: $550
Week
$-430
Vol: $20,722
Month
$-653
Vol: $23,587
All Time
$-8,951
Vol: $1,399,632
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
26%
185W / 538L events
Realized PnL
$-9,172
Win Rate
26%
185W / 538L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$181
Avg Loss
$-72
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,627 (0.6134711060084195% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 7?$2,968
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1,403
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1,256
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET$1,200
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1?$1,141
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?$961
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET$954
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$953
Ethereum Up or Down - July 19, 9PM ET$783
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET$764
Top Losers
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?$-1,201
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$-1,166
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$-1,110
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$-876
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?$-822
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 26?$-759
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10?$-575
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$-554
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$-539
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 11?$-513
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.069
Sortino
-0.102
HHI
79
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.078
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
12.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
56.8
Very active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
39s
between trades
Avg Gap
24.0m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
69.0
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 39s — normal for humanCV 2.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock57 trades/day — mass trading2.4 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
23.89
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)65.5%
Mid (20-55c)21.2%
High (>55c)13.2%
Sessions
#126/7/2026, 10:02:06 PM52 trades$3,86924 min
7/17/2026, 3:49:49 AM75 trades$3,8177 min
4/25/2026, 8:11:14 PM570 trades$3,12062 min
6/7/2026, 3:25:19 PM38 trades$2,5378 min
6/8/2026, 11:16:06 PM30 trades$2,32810 min
6/7/2026, 2:55:36 PM172 trades$2,27124 min
6/3/2026, 8:47:49 PM154 trades$2,11927 min
6/6/2026, 2:12:36 PM4 trades$2,0004 min
4/26/2026, 8:36:34 PM239 trades$1,99131 min
5/9/2026, 5:47:00 PM19 trades$1,98712 min
6/7/2026, 3:47:21 PM91 trades$1,98618 min
5/18/2026, 12:12:28 PM26 trades$1,9788 min
4/25/2026, 3:48:46 PM12 trades$1,8789 min
4/26/2026, 6:47:00 PM88 trades$1,75529 min
6/16/2026, 10:50:18 AM26 trades$1,7467 min
6/9/2026, 3:36:46 AM74 trades$1,66912 min
6/9/2026, 10:06:07 PM12 trades$1,6497 min
4/6/2026, 5:43:11 AM15 trades$1,4481 min
5/19/2026, 12:28:38 AM24 trades$1,4338 min
6/9/2026, 2:09:25 AM36 trades$1,41613 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-10
01-12
02-20
04-01
05-09
06-09
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 239 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.89/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65.5 / M21.2 / H13.2