@lava-lava
#178830x629bc4a1e53e1d475beb7ea3d388791e96dd995a
~947d· 953 markets · 52801 tradesVol: $39,193,7092026-08-04 18:13:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
54% (496/917)12/20
2.09x (win $1,832,187 / loss $875,006)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.58715/15
Sortino 6.26610/10
$+0.0798 per $1 invested4/10
HHI 390 (917 markets)10/10
211/362 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($188,750 / $978,645)10/10
Badges
9Profitable
PnL $+983,214
Contrarian
67% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 64.5 entries/market
Whale
$11,997,376 invested
High Roller
$9,998/day
Cool Head
Max DD 19%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#37$952,312Vol: $37,351,352
🎭 CULTURE#1,541$5,022Vol: $474,488
💰 FINANCE#678$8,060Vol: $149,109
📈 ECONOMICS#2,541$1,350Vol: $126,454
⚽ SPORTS#1,825,097$-963Vol: $50,567
🌤️ WEATHER#2,627$489Vol: $8,017
₿ CRYPTO#24,138$1,543Vol: $7,078
💻 TECH#248,278$-91Vol: $2,666
Overview
#1Net PnL
$983,202
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,193,709
Total Redeem
$182,428
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
953
total markets
Trades
41105B / 11696S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~947d
Periods
#2Today
$279
Vol: $0
Week
$-49
Vol: $0
Month
$876
Vol: $0
All Time
$983,202
Vol: $39,193,709
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
54%
496W / 421L events
Realized PnL
$983,214
Win Rate
54%
496W / 421L
Profit Factor
2.09x
Avg Win
$3,694
Avg Loss
$-2,093
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $316,195 (0.3215935060815393% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$118,589
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$111,759
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$85,847
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$76,438
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$74,088
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$66,449
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$62,837
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$38,604
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$35,107
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$34,148
Top Losers
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$-89,175
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$-83,274
Will the Progress Party (FrP) win 22% or more of vote in Norwegian election?$-35,089
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-28,750
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%$-28,558
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-27,983
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$-24,621
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-18,031
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more?$-16,812
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?$-16,039
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.135
Sortino
0.227
HHI
477
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.069
Kelly %
1.3%
Half-Kelly
0.7%
Top-1 market
13%
Top-5 markets
42.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
44.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.3m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
19 min
Avg Trades / Session
53.6
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 5.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock44 trades/day — high frequency0.8 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
64.55
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)23.5%
Mid (20-55c)43.8%
High (>55c)32.7%
Sessions
#125/18/2025, 6:15:19 PM363 trades$373,227105 min
9/23/2024, 9:30:53 AM13 trades$209,49210 min
6/1/2025, 9:32:07 PM142 trades$204,09660 min
9/15/2024, 8:49:09 AM6 trades$180,1042 min
9/15/2024, 10:04:05 AM6 trades$178,0111 min
6/1/2025, 3:06:19 PM274 trades$172,296166 min
8/16/2024, 10:24:20 AM7 trades$150,8934 min
6/1/2025, 8:37:39 PM111 trades$139,34049 min
6/8/2026, 4:46:39 PM342 trades$137,74090 min
11/2/2024, 10:54:11 PM28 trades$137,54521 min
4/8/2026, 5:10:15 PM40 trades$111,59410 min
9/25/2024, 1:10:04 PM3 trades$97,1155 min
8/28/2024, 8:15:55 AM4 trades$96,5151 min
11/3/2024, 10:03:30 AM2 trades$95,0200 min
6/10/2026, 11:23:00 AM37 trades$89,8177 min
9/25/2024, 2:58:08 PM1 trades$86,9400 min
8/17/2024, 11:57:21 AM3 trades$86,5912 min
9/13/2024, 12:51:56 PM2 trades$81,8990 min
6/8/2026, 1:55:36 PM52 trades$80,5936 min
4/9/2026, 7:54:17 PM63 trades$78,0170 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-21
07-12
02-07
07-01
11-17
03-19
07-06
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 125 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 64.55/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L23.5 / M43.8 / H32.7