@abboudaki

#2,840,34033

0x63414d3507a2cbbfbd77c104bae26aad82ec0e8d

~30d· 66 markets · 134 tradesVol: $4,1672026-09-10 23:04:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (51/61)20/20
0.63x (win $973 / loss $1,550)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2990/15
Sortino -3.2750/10
$-0.2654 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1876 (61 markets)3.1/10
19/24 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 970% of peak ($686 / $71)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Consistent
19/24 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,595,695$-306Vol: $3,000
🎭 CULTURE#630,601$-4Vol: $484
💰 FINANCE#90,956$3Vol: $477
SPORTS#364,286$3Vol: $134
🌤️ WEATHER#61,044$1Vol: $50
CRYPTO#1,173,938$-10Vol: $11
📢 MENTIONS#63,770$0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-312
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,167
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
66
total markets
Trades
94B / 40S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $23
Week
$4
Vol: $96
Month
$4
Vol: $96
All Time
$-312
Vol: $4,167

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
51W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-312
Win Rate
84%
51W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-172

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $919 (2.944200647041866% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$815
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$72
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$32
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$14
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$7
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$3
Netanyahu out by March 31?$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-1,501
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$-20
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$-10
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$-3
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$-2
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of March?$-0
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$-0
Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB? $-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.169
Sortino
-0.080
HHI
2988
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.181
Kelly %
9.1%
Half-Kelly
4.6%
Top-1 market
34.6%
Top-5 markets
104%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 444s — normal for humanCV 2.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.59
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)2.1%
High (>55c)95.7%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 4:25:13 PM4 trades$1,2401 min
3/29/2026, 2:37:42 AM3 trades$6453 min
3/15/2026, 9:26:57 PM2 trades$2101 min
3/13/2026, 5:33:27 AM1 trades$1800 min
3/16/2026, 2:33:37 AM2 trades$1571 min
3/23/2026, 4:26:45 PM9 trades$1348 min
3/15/2026, 11:53:45 PM6 trades$12912 min
3/23/2026, 2:51:11 PM3 trades$1191 min
3/26/2026, 10:52:33 PM3 trades$811 min
3/22/2026, 3:40:49 PM4 trades$702 min
3/20/2026, 4:31:39 PM3 trades$542 min
3/19/2026, 4:58:45 PM1 trades$530 min
3/18/2026, 8:25:31 AM1 trades$510 min
3/18/2026, 8:19:39 AM1 trades$510 min
3/13/2026, 4:48:43 AM1 trades$500 min
3/13/2026, 5:02:13 AM3 trades$503 min
3/21/2026, 2:57:33 AM1 trades$500 min
3/18/2026, 10:57:27 PM2 trades$451 min
6/2/2026, 10:09:04 PM2 trades$440 min
3/28/2026, 11:14:48 PM2 trades$401 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-11
03-16
03-20
03-24
03-31
04-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.1 / M2.1 / H95.7