@bittercrab

#2,789,82411

0x63ee6d91499ae057fce8b28965a5c30165aa027e

~37d· 239 markets · 685 tradesVol: $16,3332026-08-24 21:44:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

16% (37/234)0/20
0.79x (win $669 / loss $850)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3630/15
Sortino -4.1000/10
$-0.1751 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 67 (234 markets)10/10
11/33 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($259 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,777,451$-289Vol: $11,759
CRYPTO#1,171,250$-10Vol: $4,227

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-264
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,333
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
239
total markets
Trades
340B / 345S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $12
Week
$-2
Vol: $30
Month
$-55
Vol: $1,702
All Time
$-264
Vol: $16,333

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
16%
37W / 197L events
Realized PnL
$-264
Win Rate
16%
37W / 197L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $139 (0.525358887920912% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: Shanghai Shenhua FC 1 - 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC?$48
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$46
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Brentford FC?$45
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$43
Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 2 Charlotte FC?$42
Exact Score: Minnesota United FC 1 - 1 Real Salt Lake?$42
Exact Score: Tigers FC 0 - 2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC?$36
Exact Score: Shanghai Haigang FC 1 - 1 Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC?$34
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1 Manchester City FC?$32
Azzurri United FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 5.5$31

Top Losers

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-79
Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Team to Advance$-32
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-23
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$-21
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?$-21
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$-20
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5$-20
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$-19
Will Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.173
Sortino
-0.231
HHI
158
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.173
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
18.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 114s — normal for humanCV 1.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal2.6 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.82
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.5%
Mid (20-55c)11.5%
High (>55c)27.1%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 2:52:29 PM34 trades$4678 min
5/24/2026, 9:48:27 AM33 trades$4179 min
7/21/2026, 9:41:03 PM30 trades$2518 min
5/19/2026, 10:22:38 AM12 trades$1972 min
8/7/2026, 7:50:49 AM9 trades$1931 min
7/26/2026, 9:53:52 PM21 trades$1858 min
6/8/2026, 10:27:13 AM21 trades$16211 min
7/22/2026, 6:20:19 AM17 trades$16211 min
5/23/2026, 8:10:21 PM28 trades$15210 min
5/23/2026, 8:32:31 PM15 trades$1445 min
5/24/2026, 2:22:40 PM10 trades$1242 min
7/26/2026, 6:39:58 AM14 trades$1155 min
7/23/2026, 7:17:31 AM8 trades$1083 min
7/26/2026, 12:37:31 AM4 trades$1061 min
7/26/2026, 12:55:24 PM10 trades$1023 min
5/23/2026, 2:19:51 PM4 trades$880 min
5/24/2026, 3:10:08 PM12 trades$866 min
7/26/2026, 9:29:25 PM8 trades$842 min
5/19/2026, 8:56:43 PM10 trades$831 min
6/5/2026, 7:32:22 AM16 trades$825 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-19
05-31
06-10
07-21
07-26
08-02
08-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.82/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.5 / M11.5 / H27.1