RiskyWhisky

@RiskyWhisky

#16,20655

0x64df1adc2bf84d3212d04db134d3c0a9a30eab80

~87d· 4385 markets · 144078 tradesVol: $1,117,4702026-10-04 00:48:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (2170/4374)9.8/20
1.05x (win $146,220 / loss $139,373)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.81815/15
Sortino 2.34010/10
$+0.0173 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 30 (4374 markets)10/10
32/60 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 87% of peak ($8,895 / $10,176)0/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+5,520
Contrarian
99% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
7% sells
DCA Master
Avg 32.9 entries/market
Whale
$395,880 invested
High Roller
$1,285/day
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
100% maker orders

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#32,744$805Vol: $855,419
🏛️ POLITICS#4,601$7,904Vol: $162,171
💻 TECH#3,518$275Vol: $24,121
📢 MENTIONS#181,281$-1,821Vol: $18,644
📈 ECONOMICS#3,513$819Vol: $15,624
💰 FINANCE#4,939$798Vol: $13,685
⚽ SPORTS#102,832$138Vol: $11,312
🌤️ WEATHER#3,924$288Vol: $8,595
🎭 CULTURE#807,648$-262Vol: $7,487

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,938
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,117,470
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4385
total markets
Trades
133305B / 10773S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~87d

Periods

#2
Today
$-64
Vol: $0
Week
$546
Vol: $5,456
Month
$940
Vol: $43,317
All Time
$8,938
Vol: $1,117,470

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
2170W / 2204L events
Realized PnL
$5,520
Win Rate
50%
2170W / 2204L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$67
Avg Loss
$-63

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,947 (1.4396401651356536% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$2,926
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?$2,860
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2,161
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1,442
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1,361
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$1,203
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$864
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$850
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?$810
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?$768

Top Losers

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$-2,589
Will Leavitt say "Our Nation's Capital" during the next White House press briefing?$-1,474
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$-1,361
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$-1,140
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$-956
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$-894
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$-803
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$-797
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$-772
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$-669

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.094
Sortino
0.095
HHI
22
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
8.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
467.8
Very active
Markets / Day
14.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.9m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
22 min
Avg Trades / Session
373.9

Bot Detection

#6
85
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 8.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock468 trades/day — automation14 markets/day — mass coverage100% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
32.89
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)99.2%
High (>55c)0.7%

Sessions

#12
8/17/2026, 12:16:34 PM10 trades$8,4280 min
3/18/2026, 2:35:45 PM152 trades$7,80250 min
4/29/2026, 4:28:00 AM1 trades$4,4660 min
4/28/2026, 9:14:40 PM4 trades$3,9271 min
8/17/2026, 12:32:12 PM9 trades$3,8189 min
12/29/2025, 1:23:59 PM12 trades$3,1359 min
7/28/2026, 5:08:50 PM12 trades$3,08310 min
7/29/2026, 12:14:41 PM3 trades$3,0337 min
7/29/2026, 10:23:09 PM26 trades$2,7160 min
3/15/2026, 1:55:03 AM1142 trades$2,70435 min
12/1/2025, 6:59:58 PM20 trades$2,56033 min
3/15/2026, 7:34:41 AM1112 trades$2,51964 min
12/9/2025, 4:09:34 PM3 trades$2,5060 min
3/18/2026, 2:14:45 PM115 trades$2,44212 min
3/18/2026, 3:31:11 PM154 trades$2,41228 min
3/15/2026, 4:09:47 PM680 trades$2,34150 min
3/15/2026, 2:39:59 AM994 trades$2,27339 min
3/14/2026, 11:37:41 AM1010 trades$2,21837 min
3/13/2026, 12:09:33 AM896 trades$2,02930 min
3/14/2026, 2:00:05 PM902 trades$2,02149 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-02
12-08
02-20
03-02
03-12
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 110 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.89/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L0.1 / M99.2 / H0.7