@0x658c8B…5212

#2,727,3044

0x658c8bf988a2e93a989f6ff8a52c3f3cbc77908b

~11d· 18 markets · 84 tradesVol: $31,2942026-08-26 09:57:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (6/18)1.7/20
0.20x (win $139 / loss $699)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.3210/15
Sortino -7.8900/10
$-1.0510 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2363 (18 markets)0.7/10
4/11 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 719% of peak ($650 / $90)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+433
Contrarian
90% entries < $0.55

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,523,461$-133Vol: $25,431
🌤️ WEATHER#279,208$-47Vol: $5,837
⚽ SPORTS#1,325,027$-9Vol: $26

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-189
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,294
Total Redeem
$11
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
20B / 64S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Month
$-168
Vol: $24,100
All Time
$-189
Vol: $31,294

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
6W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$433
Win Rate
33%
6W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-70

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $130 (0.29967659967659965% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$105
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 5?$2

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4PM ET$-373
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 15?$-113
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 10?$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$-20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$-18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$-4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?$-4
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.415
Sortino
-0.399
HHI
2633
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-1.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
45.1%
Top-5 markets
89.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
48.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.4h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2880s — normal for humanCV 1.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.67
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20%
Mid (20-55c)70%
High (>55c)10%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 7:22:41 PM8 trades$4700 min
8/15/2026, 10:08:09 PM13 trades$1620 min
7/22/2026, 9:25:27 PM7 trades$1070 min
8/15/2026, 7:34:19 PM11 trades$930 min
8/10/2026, 12:55:48 PM5 trades$890 min
7/26/2026, 9:54:30 AM4 trades$600 min
5/5/2026, 8:31:52 PM6 trades$474 min
4/6/2026, 11:23:01 AM2 trades$270 min
5/5/2026, 9:13:20 PM6 trades$261 min
7/24/2026, 8:12:52 PM5 trades$220 min
5/5/2026, 4:01:32 PM2 trades$200 min
5/6/2026, 6:34:04 PM3 trades$80 min
7/23/2026, 5:23:21 PM2 trades$40 min
7/24/2026, 3:20:52 PM2 trades$40 min
7/26/2026, 10:42:30 AM2 trades$40 min
7/19/2026, 3:47:25 AM2 trades$40 min
5/5/2026, 9:26:36 PM2 trades$40 min
5/5/2026, 3:53:22 PM2 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-06
05-05
05-06
07-19
07-22
07-23
07-24
07-26
07-30
08-10
08-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
33.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.67/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20 / M70 / H10