VandelayArt

@VandelayArt

#183,73314

0x6597babce307b7ecaebbdb01d0633df1dd00d2af

~64d· 147 markets · 442 tradesVol: $36,1752026-08-25 22:19:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (70/142)9.6/20
0.67x (win $532 / loss $794)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9470/15
Sortino -2.1210/10
$-0.2101 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4197 (142 markets)0/10
21/46 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 257% of peak ($445 / $173)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+182
Contrarian
50% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#89,209$52Vol: $31,057
🎭 CULTURE#25,823$71Vol: $3,548
SPORTS#136,283$80Vol: $720
CRYPTO#1,354,667$-33Vol: $637
📈 ECONOMICS#48,954$8Vol: $98
💰 FINANCE#75,568$5Vol: $56
🌤️ WEATHER#203,019$-2Vol: $26

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$182
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,175
Total Redeem
$9
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
147
total markets
Trades
307B / 135S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $6
Week
$-0
Vol: $6
Month
$-3
Vol: $26
All Time
$182
Vol: $36,175

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
70W / 72L events
Realized PnL
$182
Win Rate
49%
70W / 72L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $258 (1.4187808896210874% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$113
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$112
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$12
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?$12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$11
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$9

Top Losers

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$-240
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$-66
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?$-46
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?$-40
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?$-40
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$-40
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-28
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-26
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.101
Sortino
-0.085
HHI
587
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.174
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.9%
Top-5 markets
36.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 320s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.65
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.5%
Mid (20-55c)29%
High (>55c)49.5%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 1:50:18 PM2 trades$7,0000 min
7/5/2026, 3:55:11 AM2 trades$7,0000 min
7/6/2026, 12:16:41 AM2 trades$3,0000 min
6/6/2026, 5:09:52 PM4 trades$1,0100 min
7/5/2026, 3:18:31 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/3/2026, 6:47:02 PM14 trades$3330 min
7/2/2026, 8:39:38 PM9 trades$3223 min
3/3/2026, 7:04:11 PM2 trades$1971 min
7/7/2026, 9:49:34 AM2 trades$1670 min
4/8/2026, 5:51:37 PM2 trades$1200 min
4/1/2026, 7:47:49 PM3 trades$1000 min
5/16/2026, 10:48:52 PM6 trades$888 min
3/7/2026, 9:40:23 PM25 trades$8434 min
5/16/2026, 8:37:53 PM5 trades$771 min
5/4/2026, 7:02:12 PM5 trades$692 min
7/16/2026, 2:50:08 PM4 trades$590 min
3/10/2026, 8:26:39 PM18 trades$5423 min
3/6/2026, 5:03:41 PM1 trades$430 min
3/3/2026, 8:47:51 PM3 trades$410 min
3/3/2026, 8:53:15 PM1 trades$410 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
03-07
03-14
04-04
06-08
06-19
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 91 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.5 / M29 / H49.5