@timonjay.
#31,715440x663497a3341c9334709b089b0b3dd587d56a7d33
~16d· 10 markets · 164 tradesVol: $82,6512026-09-09 09:50:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
78% (7/9)20/20
1.03x (win $5,557 / loss $5,372)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2103.9/15
Sortino 0.2322.3/10
$+0.0043 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 1496 (9 markets)5/10
6/8 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 193% of peak ($5,372 / $2,777)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+3,623
DCA Master
Avg 17.2 entries/market
Consistent
6/8 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#7,990$3,612Vol: $76,968
📈 ECONOMICS#16,467$61Vol: $3,836
⚽ SPORTS#64,503$396Vol: $1,616
🎭 CULTURE#797,298$-126Vol: $231
Overview
#1Net PnL
$3,943
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$82,651
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10
total markets
Trades
27B / 137S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
Periods
#2Week
$402
Vol: $0
Month
$341
Vol: $13,288
All Time
$3,943
Vol: $82,651
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
78%
7W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$3,623
Win Rate
78%
7W / 2L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$794
Avg Loss
$-5,372
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,715 (1.0254535518220735% of PnL)
Top Winners
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$1,509
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?$1,151
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1,055
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$792
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$706
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$223
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$120
Top Losers
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$-5,372
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.010
Sortino
inf
HHI
1311
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.9%
Top-5 markets
75.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
21.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1314s — normal for humanCV 0.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
17.22
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)7.4%
High (>55c)92.6%
Sessions
#129/2/2026, 11:04:34 AM17 trades$10,7020 min
8/20/2026, 1:09:30 PM8 trades$4,6920 min
8/31/2026, 2:59:43 PM18 trades$4,0710 min
7/29/2026, 10:04:05 AM9 trades$4,0002 min
8/11/2026, 11:10:19 AM12 trades$3,8810 min
7/30/2026, 12:02:48 PM7 trades$3,8070 min
8/26/2026, 10:06:00 AM15 trades$3,6260 min
8/31/2026, 3:21:37 PM19 trades$3,3948 min
9/1/2026, 6:04:04 AM2 trades$3,2250 min
7/28/2026, 3:54:51 AM3 trades$3,0300 min
7/29/2026, 11:21:38 PM2 trades$2,4100 min
7/29/2026, 5:55:50 PM4 trades$2,2320 min
7/30/2026, 12:40:33 PM11 trades$2,1650 min
7/31/2026, 8:43:02 AM7 trades$2,0880 min
7/25/2026, 5:01:31 PM7 trades$1,8080 min
8/4/2026, 8:24:30 AM5 trades$1,6330 min
7/12/2026, 1:01:01 AM3 trades$1,6160 min
8/3/2026, 1:01:29 AM8 trades$1,5880 min
7/16/2026, 11:51:43 PM5 trades$6600 min
5/15/2026, 11:20:00 AM2 trades$2520 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-15
07-12
07-29
07-31
08-04
08-20
08-31
09-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
83.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M7.4 / H92.6