@Thukydides
#1,685790x6640bd87f6e4b6e8d62457448bd1b3a4711a2202
~419d· 482 markets · 13388 tradesVol: $5,791,8972026-08-05 16:37:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
67% (301/451)18.4/20
1.50x (win $324,755 / loss $215,906)8.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.08515/15
Sortino 3.29810/10
$+0.0384 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 203 (451 markets)10/10
154/235 profitable days (66%)8.9/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($48,187 / $115,232)5.6/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+115,503
DCA Master
Avg 32.4 entries/market
Whale
$2,831,904 invested
Consistent
154/235 profitable days
High Roller
$6,103/day
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#474$108,407Vol: $4,283,367
🎭 CULTURE#871$9,507Vol: $756,259
📈 ECONOMICS#682,656$-5,677Vol: $324,087
⚽ SPORTS#1,857,940$-2,234Vol: $140,717
💻 TECH#751$2,276Vol: $122,672
₿ CRYPTO#13,346$3,460Vol: $121,179
📢 MENTIONS#172,966$-441Vol: $25,147
💰 FINANCE#11,886$214Vol: $13,125
Overview
#1Net PnL
$115,503
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,791,897
Total Redeem
$72,053
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
482
total markets
Trades
9834B / 3554S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~419d
Periods
#2Today
$697
Vol: $4,476
Week
$2,034
Vol: $21,066
Month
$4,185
Vol: $21,066
All Time
$115,503
Vol: $5,791,897
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
67%
301W / 150L events
Realized PnL
$115,503
Win Rate
67%
301W / 150L
Profit Factor
1.5x
Avg Win
$1,079
Avg Loss
$-1,489
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $51,529 (0.44612472131625563% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$24,295
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$14,458
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$12,776
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$12,533
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$12,024
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11,413
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$10,263
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$8,548
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$8,038
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7,252
Top Losers
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-24,029
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-18,130
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-16,282
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-12,335
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-10,076
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-9,671
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-6,237
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-5,764
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-5,539
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-4,780
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.114
HHI
263
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.034
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.9%
Top-5 markets
26.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
28.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
52.0m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 200s — normal for humanCV 5.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency1.0 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
32.41
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11.9%
Mid (20-55c)20.7%
High (>55c)67.4%
Sessions
#127/9/2026, 12:06:37 AM2 trades$100,0030 min
6/3/2025, 2:30:18 PM6 trades$63,8506 min
4/8/2026, 9:47:31 PM4 trades$61,5071 min
4/6/2026, 1:03:51 PM12 trades$47,3125 min
6/24/2025, 1:25:35 PM2 trades$37,8871 min
4/7/2026, 10:33:23 PM39 trades$36,4574 min
4/29/2026, 11:34:16 PM6 trades$29,91613 min
4/25/2026, 12:41:54 AM29 trades$29,6920 min
4/12/2026, 1:36:19 AM42 trades$29,6034 min
6/3/2025, 2:47:30 PM8 trades$29,5629 min
4/12/2026, 7:09:25 PM15 trades$28,7505 min
4/7/2026, 10:52:31 PM40 trades$28,7476 min
4/20/2026, 8:38:20 PM17 trades$28,4837 min
12/14/2025, 2:29:03 PM7 trades$25,8493 min
6/18/2026, 10:12:05 AM2 trades$25,2000 min
6/3/2025, 4:05:02 PM1 trades$25,1460 min
6/3/2025, 3:57:40 PM1 trades$24,0180 min
1/20/2026, 4:06:14 PM1 trades$23,9760 min
1/21/2026, 3:38:48 AM4 trades$23,4475 min
6/16/2026, 2:53:19 PM8 trades$22,1973 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
06-26
10-13
12-07
02-09
04-15
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 46 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.9 / M20.7 / H67.4