@argus-br

#2,529,09641

0x67533b88868315248a18b3d54359f217bafdb37d

~149d· 1712 markets · 6395 tradesVol: $61,9812026-08-04 22:48:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (1306/1689)20/20
0.96x (win $1,640 / loss $1,717)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3450/15
Sortino -0.3930/10
$-0.0024 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 37 (1689 markets)10/10
95/142 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 254% of peak ($406 / $160)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 77%
Consistent
95/142 profitable days
Win Streak
21 wins in a row

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#4,710$208Vol: $32,687
SPORTS#1,767,090$-297Vol: $27,306
🏛️ POLITICS#988,329$-2Vol: $766
🎭 CULTURE#176,774$1Vol: $597
💰 FINANCE#74,180$5Vol: $285
CRYPTO#1,209,689$-15Vol: $257
💻 TECH#34,685$2Vol: $46
📈 ECONOMICS#114,995$1Vol: $24
📢 MENTIONS#37,562$1Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-96
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$61,981
Total Redeem
$99
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1712
total markets
Trades
3388B / 3007S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~149d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-96
Vol: $61,981

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
1306W / 383L events
Realized PnL
$-96
Win Rate
77%
1306W / 383L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $98 (1.0223036649214658% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 17?$52
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 9?$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$22
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on May 7?$22
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lanka$21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on July 7?$19
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?$16
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?$15
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 5?$13

Top Losers

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5$-199
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-08?$-159
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-02?$-125
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?$-49
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-11?$-47
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?$-40
Southern Jaguars vs. Texas Southern Tigers$-38
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-36
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 12?$-30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 25?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.018
Sortino
-0.013
HHI
38
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
7.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.4
Active
Markets / Day
9.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.0m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 2.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity34 trades/day — high frequency9.2 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.81
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.4%
Mid (20-55c)2.6%
High (>55c)93%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 7:54:21 PM57 trades$81127 min
5/12/2026, 1:33:44 PM75 trades$80632 min
5/9/2026, 9:11:43 PM30 trades$75215 min
5/16/2026, 7:04:21 PM12 trades$6122 min
5/9/2026, 7:27:13 PM34 trades$60722 min
5/19/2026, 8:01:25 PM7 trades$6062 min
6/4/2026, 3:39:18 AM57 trades$49727 min
5/14/2026, 4:04:14 PM13 trades$4507 min
6/11/2026, 12:01:33 AM51 trades$44432 min
5/11/2026, 2:00:56 PM73 trades$41546 min
5/13/2026, 12:49:36 PM42 trades$38320 min
5/7/2026, 12:51:00 PM91 trades$38250 min
6/8/2026, 1:10:57 AM29 trades$37618 min
6/5/2026, 3:04:51 AM15 trades$3647 min
5/10/2026, 6:17:23 PM41 trades$35425 min
5/10/2026, 7:49:41 PM7 trades$3457 min
5/7/2026, 5:43:36 PM63 trades$34051 min
5/18/2026, 1:06:58 PM31 trades$33826 min
2/21/2026, 1:21:50 AM2 trades$3224 min
7/7/2026, 1:30:07 PM18 trades$32213 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-27
02-21
03-25
04-22
05-15
06-08
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 84 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
48% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.4 / M2.6 / H93