@Mannycalifornia

#3,065,86713

0x6770b263141cdede262f9c890e559ac1ac1d93b4

~64d· 49 markets · 1135 tradesVol: $257,2832026-09-21 18:02:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (24/47)10.5/20
0.23x (win $1,552 / loss $6,772)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.0750/15
Sortino -8.9920/10
$-0.3996 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2683 (47 markets)0/10
6/15 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 66186% of peak ($5,308 / $8)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 20.8 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,623,887$-1,202Vol: $150,828
⚽ SPORTS#1,786,228$-240Vol: $55,623
₿ CRYPTO#1,630,128$-563Vol: $49,716
💰 FINANCE#21,769$71Vol: $1,114

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,935
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$257,283
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
687B / 448S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,668
Vol: $5,340
Month
$-1,153
Vol: $28,137
All Time
$-1,935
Vol: $257,283

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
24W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-1,935
Win Rate
51%
24W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.23x
Avg Win
$65
Avg Loss
$-308

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $959 (0.495828681305049% of PnL)

Top Winners

Timberwolves vs. Spurs$568
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$204
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$188
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$90
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5$87
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$63
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw?$62
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)$60
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$47
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$40

Top Losers

76ers vs. Celtics$-1,210
Trump out as President by June 30?$-1,089
Magic vs. Pistons$-1,084
Trump out as President by April 30?$-1,044
Will Base launch a token in 2025?$-564
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5$-407
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5$-237
Trump out as President by May 31?$-205
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$-198
Lakers vs. Thunder$-191

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.509
Sortino
-0.467
HHI
270
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.609
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
30%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 2.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.83
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.5%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)43.2%

Sessions

#12
5/3/2026, 9:20:40 PM91 trades$21,33232 min
4/12/2026, 10:12:43 PM16 trades$5,9093 min
5/1/2026, 5:22:42 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
5/6/2026, 1:46:10 PM5 trades$4,7620 min
4/20/2026, 3:52:54 AM2 trades$3,9660 min
4/23/2026, 4:49:28 PM3 trades$3,7980 min
5/3/2026, 1:54:10 AM5 trades$3,3704 min
4/23/2026, 5:05:14 AM2 trades$3,0940 min
4/21/2026, 4:50:26 PM18 trades$3,0502 min
5/2/2026, 9:53:00 PM6 trades$2,6502 min
4/21/2026, 4:48:18 AM18 trades$1,5306 min
8/15/2026, 2:09:52 AM4 trades$1,4160 min
8/27/2026, 6:11:33 AM9 trades$1,4060 min
4/4/2026, 4:21:03 PM11 trades$1,3811 min
5/25/2026, 5:30:40 AM10 trades$1,2740 min
8/16/2026, 6:19:04 PM9 trades$1,2140 min
5/2/2026, 10:11:28 PM36 trades$1,03738 min
8/25/2026, 10:22:07 PM4 trades$1,0280 min
5/3/2026, 9:01:24 PM24 trades$1,00314 min
9/8/2026, 12:38:45 AM19 trades$9462 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-13
12-27
05-02
05-05
05-07
06-12
06-18
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 181 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.83/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.5 / M14.3 / H43.2