@simplystupid188

#6,08415

0x682c92615993fd1f75cdfe101efdc1a8adcb17ae

~190d· 1088 markets · 933104 tradesVol: $42,915,1492026-08-02 05:18:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (285/869)1.4/20
0.86x (win $16,099 / loss $18,755)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9320/15
Sortino -1.7150/10
$-0.0617 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 41 (869 markets)10/10
72/180 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 253% of peak ($4,393 / $1,736)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+26,822
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
1% sells
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#2,413$17,777Vol: $25,190,341
SPORTS#12,900$3,446Vol: $6,925,104
📈 ECONOMICS#1,630$2,664Vol: $4,896,738
💰 FINANCE#10,408$263Vol: $2,314,632
🎭 CULTURE#5,971$777Vol: $1,805,357
💻 TECH#1,539$870Vol: $790,396
CRYPTO#35,978$721Vol: $325,832
📢 MENTIONS#16,448$15Vol: $49

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$26,813
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$42,915,149
Total Redeem
$1,298
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1088
total markets
Trades
13127B / 5862S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~190d

Periods

#2
Today
$-17
Vol: $0
Week
$-79
Vol: $0
Month
$-47
Vol: $0
All Time
$26,813
Vol: $42,915,149

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
380W / 660L events
Realized PnL
$26,822
Win Rate
37%
380W / 660L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$56
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,063 (0.18876952014510665% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2,608
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,457
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$999
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$581
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$525
Government shutdown on Saturday?$514
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$429
US government shutdown Saturday?$384
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$377
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$377

Top Losers

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-481
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-461
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-420
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$-387
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-366
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-359
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-357
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-341
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-322
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-265

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.049
Sortino
-0.084
HHI
31
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.075
Kelly %
1.9%
Half-Kelly
1.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
6.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4222.2
Very active
Markets / Day
4.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.0m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 600s — normal for humanCV 0.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4222 trades/day — automation4.9 markets/day — normal2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.32
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.4%
Mid (20-55c)23.6%
High (>55c)17%

Sessions

#12
3/25/2026, 10:53:31 AM1 trades$7220 min
6/4/2026, 6:03:03 PM13 trades$2914 min
4/7/2026, 10:28:39 PM32 trades$26421 min
3/22/2026, 11:08:13 PM50 trades$16213 min
6/4/2026, 8:44:16 PM2 trades$1440 min
4/7/2026, 11:46:01 PM21 trades$13915 min
5/23/2026, 9:50:53 PM7 trades$1346 min
1/18/2026, 9:06:26 PM12 trades$1270 min
4/7/2026, 8:53:01 PM24 trades$12611 min
6/11/2026, 4:10:18 AM5 trades$1265 min
6/1/2026, 5:44:01 PM4 trades$1194 min
6/19/2026, 1:37:32 AM4 trades$1171 min
3/31/2026, 1:32:53 PM5 trades$1113 min
5/21/2026, 4:58:01 AM2 trades$1090 min
4/21/2026, 3:34:44 PM12 trades$10515 min
6/10/2026, 4:42:58 PM2 trades$1030 min
5/29/2026, 3:11:58 PM3 trades$1031 min
3/5/2026, 5:05:05 AM3 trades$1000 min
6/4/2026, 2:48:49 PM2 trades$970 min
6/11/2026, 6:00:46 PM16 trades$9523 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-25
12-30
01-30
03-14
04-15
06-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.32/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.4 / M23.6 / H17