JerryRalph1

@JerryRalph1

#561,7055

0x68519a4ce1453f786de3ff30e24daea12061dbc9

~12d· 19 markets · 81 tradesVol: $1,4952026-08-25 06:20:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

11% (2/19)0/20
0.23x (win $14 / loss $60)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -13.6640/15
Sortino -11.1330/10
$-0.3661 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1562 (19 markets)4.7/10
1/9 profitable days (11%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($46 / $0)0/10

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#264,818$13Vol: $1,361
🎭 CULTURE#632,982$-4Vol: $106
📈 ECONOMICS#548,310$-3Vol: $27

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,495
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
38B / 43S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$6
Vol: $1,495

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
11%
2W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-39
Win Rate
11%
2W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.23x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14 (0.3532763532763533% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$2

Top Losers

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-24
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$-4
Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?$-4
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$-2
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$-2
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-2
Will "Vogue" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.674
Sortino
-0.659
HHI
4812
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.229
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
56.3%
Top-5 markets
131.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
26
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 636s — normal for humanCV 1.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.26
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.3%
Mid (20-55c)21.1%
High (>55c)52.6%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 4:54:44 AM6 trades$501 min
7/1/2026, 5:00:50 AM6 trades$333 min
7/12/2026, 3:34:23 AM4 trades$320 min
7/5/2026, 2:54:56 PM2 trades$240 min
7/14/2026, 8:20:26 PM7 trades$235 min
6/30/2026, 3:00:08 AM2 trades$200 min
7/6/2026, 8:18:13 PM4 trades$180 min
7/14/2026, 8:42:20 PM2 trades$100 min
7/15/2026, 8:45:44 PM2 trades$80 min
7/3/2026, 1:28:16 AM6 trades$81 min
7/2/2026, 1:19:23 AM2 trades$60 min
7/19/2026, 2:07:43 PM2 trades$50 min
7/6/2026, 2:55:16 AM6 trades$51 min
7/5/2026, 9:41:34 PM4 trades$51 min
7/12/2026, 2:35:38 AM2 trades$40 min
7/5/2026, 9:52:46 PM2 trades$30 min
7/5/2026, 11:27:04 PM2 trades$20 min
7/10/2026, 10:55:56 AM2 trades$20 min
7/12/2026, 3:27:44 AM2 trades$20 min
7/19/2026, 8:11:25 PM2 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-01
07-02
07-05
07-06
07-07
07-12
07-14
07-15
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.3 / M21.1 / H52.6