@0x688b15f0b28ed993dba8ee14f3485ddbb55349f5
120x688b15f0b28ed993dba8ee14f3485ddbb55349f5
~123d· 157 markets · 3305 trades2026-08-02 06:22:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
30% (30/101)0/20
0.87x (win $589 / loss $677)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5730/15
Sortino -1.2330/10
$-0.0284 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 625 (101 markets)9.4/10
20/54 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 120% of peak ($524 / $436)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+182
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$182
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,091
Total Redeem
$7
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
157
total markets
Trades
2364B / 941S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~123d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
30%
30W / 71L events
Realized PnL
$182
Win Rate
30%
30W / 71L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-10
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $488 (2.673461559537509% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$351
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$113
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$24
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$21
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$11
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$9
Iran leadership change by April 30?$7
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$6
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$6
Top Losers
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-111
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-65
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$-62
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$-59
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$-58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-34
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 28, 2026?$-26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-21
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$-18
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.030
Sortino
-0.061
HHI
310
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.040
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.3%
Top-5 markets
29.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
25.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1153s — normal for humanCV 3.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency1.2 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
17.04
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)52.9%
Mid (20-55c)9.6%
High (>55c)37.5%
Sessions
#126/22/2026, 1:34:59 PM18 trades$38312 min
7/15/2026, 1:12:46 PM2 trades$3000 min
6/23/2026, 7:07:52 PM12 trades$2500 min
5/23/2026, 7:28:05 PM6 trades$2175 min
6/20/2026, 1:13:50 PM6 trades$2077 min
6/30/2026, 8:23:11 AM2 trades$2000 min
6/9/2026, 3:06:15 PM2 trades$1880 min
4/14/2026, 7:00:12 PM5 trades$1700 min
4/22/2026, 11:40:44 AM12 trades$1598 min
4/16/2026, 12:17:58 AM10 trades$1493 min
4/8/2026, 5:49:19 AM8 trades$1304 min
4/12/2026, 9:07:41 AM10 trades$11211 min
4/14/2026, 9:29:03 AM4 trades$1051 min
6/20/2026, 12:17:32 PM4 trades$1030 min
4/25/2026, 3:53:52 PM20 trades$954 min
4/8/2026, 7:31:13 PM5 trades$821 min
4/17/2026, 8:38:44 AM3 trades$824 min
4/7/2026, 11:33:39 PM8 trades$772 min
6/11/2026, 1:29:42 AM5 trades$662 min
4/22/2026, 4:17:58 AM4 trades$641 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
04-08
04-17
05-01
05-25
06-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 84 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.04/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52.9 / M9.6 / H37.5