TKD44

@TKD44

#91970

0x68df8708aadb901618f11abf2471805a66a24815

~95d· 243 markets · 3591 tradesVol: $5,292,6712026-09-10 22:05:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (131/240)12.3/20
1.36x (win $1,197,834 / loss $882,036)7/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.28015/15
Sortino 3.86510/10
$+0.1310 per $1 invested6.5/10
HHI 186 (240 markets)10/10
48/85 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 59% of peak ($190,207 / $322,547)2.2/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+270,660
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
1% sells
DCA Master
Avg 16.2 entries/market
Whale
$2,410,686 invested
High Roller
$6,715/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

2
SPORTS#439$239,950Vol: $5,290,077
CRYPTO#213,667$14Vol: $905

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$239,217
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,292,671
Total Redeem
$48,968
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
243
total markets
Trades
3556B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~95d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $597
Week
$9
Vol: $597
Month
$9
Vol: $597
All Time
$239,217
Vol: $5,292,671

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
131W / 109L events
Realized PnL
$270,660
Win Rate
55%
131W / 109L
Profit Factor
1.36x
Avg Win
$9,144
Avg Loss
$-8,092

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $246,735 (0.9116040419714772% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101,276
Spread: Rams (-7.5)$100,560
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44,899
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)$44,584
Packers vs. Bears$43,814
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford $38,278
Chargers vs. Raiders$35,166
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)$32,873
Bills vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5$31,473
Packers vs. Bears$31,002

Top Losers

Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5$-72,778
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)$-46,060
Chargers vs. Jaguars$-45,600
49ers vs. Rams$-39,500
Cowboys vs. Panthers$-35,931
Rams vs. Bears$-30,759
Colts vs. Steelers$-30,000
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)$-29,679
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)$-29,046
Kings vs. Bucks$-27,280

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.119
Sortino
0.168
HHI
209
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.123
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
23.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.5m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 4.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.22
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5%
Mid (20-55c)49.2%
High (>55c)45.8%

Sessions

#12
11/13/2025, 12:33:58 AM1 trades$78,8480 min
1/17/2026, 9:22:34 PM341 trades$74,19940 min
4/30/2026, 11:59:52 PM9 trades$71,0544 min
7/19/2026, 9:34:03 PM91 trades$52,82911 min
10/19/2025, 4:21:23 PM1 trades$51,6000 min
7/19/2026, 9:17:28 PM39 trades$47,7816 min
10/12/2025, 12:16:46 PM21 trades$47,42824 min
11/16/2025, 4:48:23 PM30 trades$41,14734 min
11/2/2025, 5:27:59 PM61 trades$40,65731 min
10/2/2025, 8:06:05 PM14 trades$39,5002 min
10/12/2025, 1:56:38 PM12 trades$37,6104 min
2/9/2026, 12:41:41 AM50 trades$36,3271 min
10/12/2025, 2:48:36 PM4 trades$36,29610 min
4/28/2026, 7:15:18 PM94 trades$36,14570 min
11/9/2025, 2:25:07 PM4 trades$35,7032 min
10/12/2025, 10:11:09 PM2 trades$35,6131 min
11/16/2025, 5:33:59 PM22 trades$31,99614 min
9/15/2025, 11:46:54 AM1 trades$31,5280 min
10/26/2025, 4:06:15 PM6 trades$29,88511 min
9/14/2025, 4:41:20 PM1 trades$28,2900 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-21
10-19
11-08
11-30
12-28
01-26
08-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5 / M49.2 / H45.8