unfortunate

@unfortunate

#6,88285

0x695c1dbc0cf3d4758c8879ea5139c1615d9310a1

~129d· 895 markets · 4969 tradesVol: $513,9712026-10-02 15:44:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (398/789)10.2/20
1.87x (win $49,642 / loss $26,514)13.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.80815/15
Sortino 16.41210/10
$+0.3001 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 79 (789 markets)10/10
69/125 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 10% of peak ($2,374 / $23,879)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+23,141
Contrarian
94% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.9 entries/market
Whale
$77,072 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 10%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#2,109$20,952Vol: $376,845
💰 FINANCE#663,596$-964Vol: $56,649
₿ CRYPTO#21,459$1,763Vol: $24,326
🎭 CULTURE#8,241$470Vol: $24,085
💻 TECH#269,476$-329Vol: $15,039
📈 ECONOMICS#3,953$665Vol: $12,899
🌤️ WEATHER#3,216$377Vol: $1,149
⚽ SPORTS#128,150$87Vol: $1,078

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$23,066
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$513,971
Total Redeem
$6,362
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
895
total markets
Trades
3861B / 1108S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~129d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-16
Vol: $535
Month
$-9
Vol: $13,747
All Time
$23,066
Vol: $513,971

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
398W / 391L events
Realized PnL
$23,141
Win Rate
50%
398W / 391L
Profit Factor
1.87x
Avg Win
$125
Avg Loss
$-69

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,945 (0.30011386544000246% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$4,110
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?$1,468
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$1,367
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$944
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$935
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$881
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$865
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$842
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$822
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$754

Top Losers

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$-720
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-685
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$-684
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-612
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-607
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$-470
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?$-390
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$-362
AWS service disrupted by March 31?$-360
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$-359

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.303
Sortino
0.759
HHI
59
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.314
Kelly %
25.9%
Half-Kelly
12.9%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
10.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.6m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 382s — normal for humanCV 2.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency3.7 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.91
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.3%
Mid (20-55c)67.2%
High (>55c)5.5%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:18:25 PM60 trades$3,70134 min
9/20/2026, 10:46:33 AM207 trades$3,44021 min
4/18/2026, 4:00:36 PM15 trades$2,7580 min
4/20/2026, 8:30:40 PM51 trades$2,0784 min
4/12/2026, 1:03:49 PM14 trades$1,70410 min
4/7/2026, 10:59:07 PM61 trades$1,44519 min
5/23/2026, 10:03:10 PM37 trades$1,3441 min
4/23/2026, 9:23:24 PM25 trades$1,2757 min
4/15/2026, 2:14:34 PM4 trades$1,1390 min
5/2/2026, 10:50:20 AM11 trades$1,1180 min
4/9/2026, 4:18:29 PM22 trades$9655 min
6/5/2026, 11:30:07 AM1 trades$9640 min
3/29/2026, 10:26:22 AM3 trades$8948 min
4/24/2026, 10:12:52 PM3 trades$8920 min
3/29/2026, 10:34:32 PM2 trades$8891 min
4/17/2026, 4:49:56 PM11 trades$8042 min
3/19/2026, 12:59:57 AM3 trades$7526 min
5/19/2026, 4:31:04 PM13 trades$7501 min
4/8/2026, 12:22:21 PM2 trades$7460 min
4/8/2026, 10:06:01 AM11 trades$7350 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
02-10
03-04
03-24
04-13
05-08
05-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.91/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.3 / M67.2 / H5.5