@koninginhetkasteel
#257,504560x69bf85dec1ab8491feaf1df3413c23a3ff9b1737
~51d· 104 markets · 1886 tradesVol: $247,1032026-10-07 20:51:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
60% (48/80)15/20
1.15x (win $261 / loss $227)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.87015/15
Sortino 1.17810/10
$+0.0162 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 1406 (80 markets)5.5/10
16/31 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 106% of peak ($101 / $95)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+79
Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 22.9 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#45,616$197Vol: $149,973
💰 FINANCE#51,160$12Vol: $57,529
🎭 CULTURE#797,216$-134Vol: $29,707
⚽ SPORTS#321,412$6Vol: $5,895
💻 TECH#216,126$-2Vol: $3,454
🌤️ WEATHER#125,035$0Vol: $120
📈 ECONOMICS#154,990$0Vol: $115
₿ CRYPTO#668,237$0Vol: $39
Overview
#1Net PnL
$79
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$247,103
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
104
total markets
Trades
1159B / 727S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d
Periods
#2Today
$-6
Vol: $3,237
Week
$-6
Vol: $14,603
Month
$-7
Vol: $14,603
All Time
$79
Vol: $247,103
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
60%
48W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$79
Win Rate
60%
48W / 32L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-9
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $94 (1.1969043390002538% of PnL)
Top Winners
US strike on Colombia by January 31?$35
Maduro out in 2025?$31
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?$29
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?$26
Epstein client list released in 2025?$21
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?$14
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?$14
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$12
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?$11
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$9
Top Losers
Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?$-91
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-25
Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?$-19
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?$-18
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by December 31?$-18
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?$-10
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 115-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$-9
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 20?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.045
Sortino
0.048
HHI
555
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.2%
Top-5 markets
39.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
38.2m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 278s — normal for humanCV 2.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
22.86
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)92.5%
Mid (20-55c)2.2%
High (>55c)5.3%
Sessions
#124/28/2026, 12:42:30 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
10/4/2026, 5:16:08 AM36 trades$82624 min
10/4/2026, 5:56:37 AM19 trades$21011 min
4/12/2026, 6:49:49 PM10 trades$1273 min
10/5/2026, 6:20:35 PM3 trades$800 min
1/7/2026, 3:10:13 PM11 trades$589 min
1/7/2026, 5:19:05 PM4 trades$518 min
10/5/2026, 3:34:19 PM2 trades$500 min
12/24/2025, 4:25:07 PM54 trades$4918 min
12/24/2025, 6:22:31 PM23 trades$4628 min
4/12/2026, 5:14:15 PM32 trades$4025 min
4/12/2026, 11:00:09 AM28 trades$4015 min
12/22/2025, 1:23:09 PM16 trades$3911 min
12/24/2025, 7:29:13 PM21 trades$3823 min
12/24/2025, 4:56:59 PM24 trades$3824 min
10/4/2026, 5:46:52 AM3 trades$370 min
4/7/2026, 6:25:57 AM2 trades$340 min
12/30/2025, 7:30:11 PM6 trades$3311 min
1/8/2026, 2:54:10 PM19 trades$3329 min
12/28/2025, 3:44:35 PM5 trades$327 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-19
12-27
01-02
01-11
04-05
04-13
05-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.86/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L92.5 / M2.2 / H5.3