@novaarcane

#1,888,69777

0x69f0aceec8ace6b6fb1eec1a2dab1e0e867104f2

~17d· 47 markets · 271 tradesVol: $21,0842026-08-04 19:43:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (8/12)18.3/20
37.08x (win $109 / loss $3)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.32115/15
Sortino 328.23510/10
$+0.0057 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 4121 (12 markets)0/10
5/8 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 3% of peak ($3 / $106)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 67%
DCA Master
Avg 7.2 entries/market
Consistent
5/8 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 3%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,194,799$-6Vol: $12,696
📈 ECONOMICS#502,032$-1Vol: $2,896
💰 FINANCE#494,328$-2Vol: $2,655
⚽ SPORTS#1,023,125$-2Vol: $2,217
🎭 CULTURE#445,145$-0Vol: $461
💻 TECH#152,809$-0Vol: $117
₿ CRYPTO#714,938$-0Vol: $42

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-11
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,084
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
122B / 149S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $175
Month
$-0
Vol: $175
All Time
$-11
Vol: $21,084

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
8W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-11
Win Rate
67%
8W / 4L
Profit Factor
37.08x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $107 (9.358078602620088% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$97
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be less than $150B at market close on IPO day?$7
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1
Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$0
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0
Will Paul Reevs be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$0

Top Losers

Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-1
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$-1
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 1?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.358
Sortino
13.661
HHI
954
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
56.3%
Half-Kelly
28.1%
Top-1 market
27.8%
Top-5 markets
46.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.0m
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 567s — normal for humanCV 2.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.25
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)91.8%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 11:41:14 AM5 trades$2,3790 min
6/23/2026, 3:15:16 AM3 trades$1,8830 min
6/23/2026, 5:04:41 AM2 trades$1,2830 min
6/22/2026, 11:16:22 AM2 trades$1,2790 min
6/23/2026, 11:14:22 PM2 trades$1,2600 min
6/23/2026, 4:39:02 AM2 trades$1,2130 min
6/22/2026, 9:25:35 AM7 trades$1,2120 min
6/24/2026, 1:21:34 AM10 trades$1,1770 min
6/24/2026, 12:57:17 AM2 trades$1,1070 min
6/23/2026, 11:54:47 PM2 trades$9310 min
6/23/2026, 3:47:34 AM2 trades$8780 min
6/22/2026, 10:57:47 AM2 trades$8620 min
4/18/2026, 4:08:02 AM3 trades$4540 min
4/16/2026, 5:30:00 AM2 trades$4520 min
4/16/2026, 6:47:22 AM2 trades$4520 min
6/22/2026, 10:04:29 AM2 trades$3500 min
6/23/2026, 3:40:31 AM2 trades$3400 min
6/23/2026, 11:44:34 PM2 trades$3290 min
4/18/2026, 2:42:46 AM2 trades$2350 min
4/16/2026, 2:34:38 AM2 trades$2300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-31
04-16
04-18
06-22
06-23
06-24
06-26
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.2 / M0 / H91.8