@manta809

#2,799,0562

0x6a20f7a6d297edd529413fb988ddbe8781154ae6

~18d· 36 markets · 112 tradesVol: $7,9742026-10-03 23:35:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (11/34)1.2/20
0.07x (win $44 / loss $596)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.1900/15
Sortino -7.5300/10
$-0.5614 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2250 (34 markets)1.3/10
2/12 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($552 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
71% entries < $0.55

Categories

6
📈 ECONOMICS#667,594$-71Vol: $3,163
💰 FINANCE#605,232$-21Vol: $2,117
⚽ SPORTS#1,739,318$-125Vol: $1,905
💻 TECH#236,175$-8Vol: $380
🎭 CULTURE#172,881$1Vol: $250
🏛️ POLITICS#295,252$2Vol: $158

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-223
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,974
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
45B / 67S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-31
Vol: $2,617
All Time
$-223
Vol: $7,974

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
11W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-223
Win Rate
32%
11W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.07x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34 (0.1539773747530975% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?$16
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?$10
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?$8
GTA VI released before June 2026?$4
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?$2
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$0

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$-389
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?$-106
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$-43
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?$-9
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$-7
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in July?$-5
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?$-5
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?$-5
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?$-5
Will GPT-5 be released on August 12?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.410
Sortino
-0.380
HHI
1033
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.758
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.5%
Top-5 markets
54.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
58s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 58s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.24
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20%
Mid (20-55c)51.1%
High (>55c)28.9%

Sessions

#12
9/11/2026, 12:49:10 PM21 trades$8610 min
9/3/2026, 3:25:22 AM21 trades$8440 min
9/3/2026, 3:15:36 AM2 trades$3550 min
8/28/2026, 5:06:15 PM4 trades$2051 min
1/23/2026, 10:19:24 PM3 trades$1761 min
1/23/2026, 11:03:02 AM3 trades$1433 min
1/18/2026, 9:33:50 PM1 trades$500 min
1/24/2026, 12:58:10 PM1 trades$490 min
1/18/2026, 9:05:10 PM1 trades$490 min
8/14/2025, 11:58:00 AM9 trades$431 min
8/6/2025, 5:23:20 AM5 trades$257 min
8/12/2025, 1:05:46 PM2 trades$201 min
8/6/2025, 4:44:42 PM4 trades$201 min
8/6/2025, 5:13:04 AM3 trades$153 min
8/12/2025, 10:37:35 PM3 trades$151 min
12/11/2025, 7:05:27 PM2 trades$132 min
8/6/2025, 4:19:16 PM2 trades$100 min
8/6/2025, 4:26:40 PM2 trades$101 min
12/5/2025, 11:49:39 AM2 trades$92 min
12/7/2025, 10:48:09 PM2 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-06
08-12
12-05
12-09
01-18
01-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.24/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20 / M51.1 / H28.9