@red-walnut

#2,475,40010

0x6a3a928736d42cd5f99c900fa59e5067833aa88b

~21d· 93 markets · 274 tradesVol: $3,1612026-08-25 15:32:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (25/93)0/20
0.45x (win $123 / loss $275)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.2220/15
Sortino -5.0910/10
$-0.4612 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 281 (93 markets)10/10
4/21 profitable days (19%)0/10
Max DD 1019% of peak ($176 / $17)0/10

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#43,104$2Vol: $2,203
₿ CRYPTO#1,450,816$-72Vol: $963

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-69
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,161
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
93
total markets
Trades
129B / 145S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$6
Vol: $653
All Time
$-69
Vol: $3,161

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
25W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$-69
Win Rate
27%
25W / 68L
Profit Factor
0.45x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28 (0.4046963328018554% of PnL)

Top Winners

Solana Up or Down - April 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$10
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$9
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$9
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$9
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$8
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$8
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$7
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 94°F or higher on July 22?$7
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$7

Top Losers

Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$-10
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$-10
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$-9
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-9
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$-9
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$-9
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$-9
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$-9
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$-9
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.267
Sortino
-0.243
HHI
315
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.461
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.9%
Top-5 markets
33.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 312s — normal for humanCV 0.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.95
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)46.5%
High (>55c)53.5%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 8:29:45 PM37 trades$1377 min
7/21/2026, 6:51:34 PM29 trades$556 min
5/10/2026, 10:14:49 PM7 trades$250 min
5/10/2026, 9:29:49 PM7 trades$180 min
5/10/2026, 7:29:48 PM4 trades$180 min
5/10/2026, 8:14:50 PM6 trades$170 min
5/10/2026, 8:44:49 PM4 trades$170 min
5/10/2026, 5:59:49 PM4 trades$160 min
7/22/2026, 1:15:58 AM14 trades$153 min
5/8/2026, 5:45:49 PM2 trades$100 min
4/24/2026, 12:15:16 PM3 trades$100 min
8/19/2026, 3:46:42 PM22 trades$101 min
5/14/2026, 8:59:49 PM2 trades$90 min
5/14/2026, 9:14:52 PM2 trades$90 min
5/10/2026, 6:44:48 PM3 trades$90 min
5/10/2026, 5:29:47 PM3 trades$90 min
5/15/2026, 12:14:49 AM2 trades$90 min
5/10/2026, 4:29:49 PM3 trades$90 min
5/10/2026, 8:59:47 PM3 trades$80 min
5/9/2026, 1:44:49 AM2 trades$80 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-09
05-15
06-05
06-10
06-14
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 75 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M46.5 / H53.5