@445runecypher

#2,007,29762

0x6a76b78fd6212aff42ea62dc390c3d6f633849d6

~23d· 71 markets · 430 tradesVol: $29,6742026-09-21 17:21:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (9/22)5.5/20
12.62x (win $40 / loss $3)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.70915/15
Sortino 126.93410/10
$+0.0015 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 1927 (22 markets)2.9/10
4/9 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($3 / $36)10/10

Badges

1
Cool Head
Max DD 9%

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,197,149$-6Vol: $12,096
SPORTS#1,193,136$-4Vol: $8,411
🎭 CULTURE#613,143$-3Vol: $5,603
💰 FINANCE#493,580$-1Vol: $2,969
CRYPTO#744,694$-0Vol: $330
📈 ECONOMICS#323,774$-0Vol: $130

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-15
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,674
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
214B / 216S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $2,320
All Time
$-15
Vol: $29,674

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
9W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-15
Win Rate
41%
9W / 13L
Profit Factor
12.61x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $36 (2.453488372093023% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$28
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$6
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$2
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1
Will San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Series?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?$0
Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$-1
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in April 2026?$-0
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?$-0
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$-0
Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$-0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-0
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-0
Will Maya Joint win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$-0
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?$-0
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.430
Sortino
6.912
HHI
363
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
21.3%
Half-Kelly
10.7%
Top-1 market
16.4%
Top-5 markets
31.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 489s — normal for humanCV 2.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.64
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.7%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)89.3%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 12:46:33 AM2 trades$1,0710 min
6/13/2026, 11:01:12 PM2 trades$1,0710 min
6/13/2026, 4:48:33 AM2 trades$1,0450 min
6/14/2026, 12:17:07 AM2 trades$1,0340 min
6/14/2026, 11:00:48 PM3 trades$1,0290 min
6/15/2026, 12:42:48 AM2 trades$1,0170 min
6/13/2026, 4:30:06 AM2 trades$1,0090 min
6/15/2026, 12:20:07 AM2 trades$9910 min
6/14/2026, 12:01:58 AM2 trades$9900 min
6/13/2026, 3:14:27 AM2 trades$9880 min
6/13/2026, 11:43:48 PM2 trades$9740 min
4/16/2026, 4:30:46 AM7 trades$8480 min
6/13/2026, 11:25:52 PM2 trades$8090 min
4/14/2026, 11:24:35 AM3 trades$7860 min
6/14/2026, 11:23:54 PM2 trades$7750 min
4/14/2026, 11:00:17 AM2 trades$7640 min
4/16/2026, 3:02:36 AM2 trades$7640 min
4/15/2026, 4:47:02 AM3 trades$7580 min
6/13/2026, 3:40:54 AM2 trades$7520 min
4/16/2026, 5:08:26 AM2 trades$7480 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
03-27
04-01
04-14
04-16
05-11
06-13
06-14
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.7 / M0 / H89.3