@danastevens

#2,489,73140

0x6d412239598357efb32f225b2501e3fb0aa34699

~35d· 44 markets · 69 tradesVol: $11,5802026-10-07 03:23:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (38/43)20/20
0.16x (win $13 / loss $82)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5610/15
Sortino -3.5030/10
$-0.0201 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 325 (43 markets)10/10
30/34 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 12237% of peak ($72 / $1)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Consistent
30/34 profitable days
Win Streak
29 wins in a row

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#1,451,576$-68Vol: $10,996
🏛️ POLITICS#565,292$-0Vol: $403
💰 FINANCE#129,318$1Vol: $162
📈 ECONOMICS#224,615$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-67
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,580
Total Redeem
$333
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
53B / 16S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Week
$22
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $22
All Time
$-67
Vol: $11,580

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
37W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-67
Win Rate
88%
37W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6 (0.09283582089552238% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?$2
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$2
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?$1
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$1
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?$0
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in November?$0
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $120,000 on October 27?$0

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 10?$-64
Will the price of Solana be less than $80 on January 7?$-8
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$-5
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$-3
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.184
Sortino
-0.068
HHI
336
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
21.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
55.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
46
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3336s — normal for humanCV 0.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.2%
Mid (20-55c)1.9%
High (>55c)84.9%

Sessions

#12
7/13/2026, 11:11:50 AM3 trades$2080 min
12/26/2025, 6:29:41 PM1 trades$1280 min
10/22/2025, 11:54:25 AM1 trades$1270 min
11/25/2025, 11:51:37 AM1 trades$1270 min
11/22/2025, 2:07:55 PM1 trades$1270 min
12/29/2025, 1:39:01 PM1 trades$1260 min
11/14/2025, 9:05:34 AM1 trades$1260 min
12/6/2025, 10:42:47 AM1 trades$1260 min
5/11/2026, 3:33:57 PM2 trades$1240 min
11/7/2025, 10:21:45 AM1 trades$1230 min
9/17/2025, 2:36:02 PM1 trades$1230 min
10/27/2025, 12:22:49 PM1 trades$1230 min
10/29/2025, 2:23:45 PM1 trades$1220 min
2/25/2026, 2:25:08 PM1 trades$1210 min
10/24/2025, 1:26:41 PM1 trades$1210 min
10/6/2025, 11:34:25 AM1 trades$1190 min
3/6/2026, 2:17:33 PM1 trades$1190 min
2/20/2026, 12:10:28 PM1 trades$1180 min
3/30/2026, 9:41:08 AM1 trades$1180 min
3/26/2026, 11:36:37 AM1 trades$1180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-17
10-24
11-22
01-07
02-13
03-26
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 196 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.2 / M1.9 / H84.9