@mapleleafgrief
#226,697570x6f4314abcdbcd6b8c54be833d3cb80bfcb719e9a
~37d· 88 markets · 917 tradesVol: $103,8192026-08-02 07:58:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
16% (10/62)0/20
1.55x (win $1,931 / loss $1,246)9.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.87415/15
Sortino 6.77210/10
$+0.3156 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1021 (62 markets)7.4/10
4/20 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 46% of peak ($575 / $1,260)4.9/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+111
Lottery Player
89% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#60,629$112Vol: $102,786
🎭 CULTURE#526,479$-1Vol: $1,000
📈 ECONOMICS#97,690$1Vol: $26
⚽ SPORTS#953,087$-1Vol: $7
Overview
#1Net PnL
$111
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$103,819
Total Redeem
$375
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
88
total markets
Trades
429B / 488S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$8
Vol: $0
Month
$31
Vol: $248
All Time
$111
Vol: $103,819
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
16%
10W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$111
Win Rate
16%
10W / 52L
Profit Factor
1.55x
Avg Win
$193
Avg Loss
$-30
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,706 (15.371935832732518% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$870
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$595
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$241
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$117
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$66
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$0
Top Losers
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-603
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-425
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$-16
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$-16
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$-15
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$-14
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$-12
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-10
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.147
Sortino
0.312
HHI
960
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.357
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.8%
Top-5 markets
65.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
8.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.9
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 81s — normal for humanCV 5.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.77
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)88.8%
Mid (20-55c)5.4%
High (>55c)5.8%
Sessions
#124/24/2026, 12:35:24 AM4 trades$10,0003 min
4/23/2026, 3:01:38 AM92 trades$2,7303 min
5/28/2026, 1:13:34 AM28 trades$2,2256 min
4/30/2026, 7:52:22 AM18 trades$2,0002 min
6/15/2026, 6:19:57 AM20 trades$1,4324 min
5/30/2026, 6:05:47 AM5 trades$1,0000 min
4/22/2026, 9:58:58 AM3 trades$9790 min
6/14/2026, 5:58:45 AM17 trades$88112 min
4/29/2026, 5:58:18 PM11 trades$7862 min
4/27/2026, 12:26:20 PM7 trades$6590 min
6/15/2026, 9:18:15 AM4 trades$6422 min
4/22/2026, 10:39:42 AM30 trades$5794 min
5/28/2026, 11:44:46 PM2 trades$5000 min
6/1/2026, 7:30:23 PM11 trades$4442 min
5/23/2026, 5:51:36 AM2 trades$4080 min
7/29/2026, 2:34:06 AM25 trades$3515 min
6/15/2026, 8:08:03 AM12 trades$2065 min
7/7/2026, 6:53:40 AM10 trades$1961 min
7/17/2026, 7:01:22 PM42 trades$1935 min
4/27/2026, 7:57:10 AM7 trades$1691 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
04-29
05-29
06-03
06-12
06-21
07-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.77/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L88.8 / M5.4 / H5.8