Political-Predator2

@Political-Predator2

#3,022,75223

0x6f6c642cebb6bfa40c77cccb9b1d8bf521d4e2d8

~33d· 59 markets · 413 tradesVol: $85,8392026-08-04 21:17:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (25/49)10.5/20
0.96x (win $4,288 / loss $4,454)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2380/15
Sortino -0.2770/10
$-0.0050 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 941 (49 markets)7.8/10
9/22 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 476% of peak ($2,372 / $498)0/10

Badges

2
DCA Master
Avg 5.8 entries/market
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,863,942$-2,705Vol: $61,228
🌤️ WEATHER#294,866$-431Vol: $11,006
🏛️ POLITICS#19,925$845Vol: $8,458
💰 FINANCE#640,820$-180Vol: $3,201
🎭 CULTURE#805,171$-476Vol: $1,610
₿ CRYPTO#1,189,421$-13Vol: $236
📈 ECONOMICS#635,076$-27Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,986
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$85,839
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
180B / 233S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$127
Vol: $290
Week
$3
Vol: $680
Month
$200
Vol: $2,849
All Time
$-2,986
Vol: $85,839

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
25W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-3,134
Win Rate
51%
25W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$172
Avg Loss
$-212

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,653 (0.5275224966494351% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$651
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$532
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$471
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?$431
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$337
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$293
Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5$226
Will England win on 2026-06-27?$209
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$186
Japan vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?$163

Top Losers

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)$-1,372
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-1,000
England to score first vs. Ghana?$-504
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5$-400
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$-230
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-200
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?$-184
France leading at halftime?$-120
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-103
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 7?$-80

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.012
Sortino
-0.011
HHI
643
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.6%
Top-5 markets
48.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 484s — normal for humanCV 2.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity10 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.8
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5%
Mid (20-55c)11.7%
High (>55c)83.3%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 11:59:29 PM6 trades$6,3221 min
6/26/2026, 9:12:16 PM2 trades$5,2370 min
6/23/2026, 6:54:44 PM8 trades$4,7351 min
6/26/2026, 7:42:01 PM4 trades$4,2920 min
7/19/2026, 11:06:13 PM12 trades$3,5044 min
6/26/2026, 9:58:20 PM14 trades$2,4606 min
6/25/2026, 11:30:22 PM4 trades$2,3390 min
7/1/2026, 4:35:16 PM12 trades$1,9794 min
6/27/2026, 10:30:37 PM8 trades$1,5347 min
6/25/2026, 11:07:49 PM6 trades$1,4890 min
7/31/2026, 11:34:29 AM16 trades$1,3155 min
6/24/2026, 9:18:17 PM2 trades$1,2660 min
6/29/2026, 7:20:22 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/27/2026, 11:15:52 PM6 trades$9151 min
7/15/2026, 10:09:53 AM8 trades$8002 min
6/30/2026, 4:17:53 PM2 trades$7990 min
7/30/2026, 10:04:57 PM15 trades$7566 min
7/30/2026, 10:24:50 PM14 trades$6852 min
8/1/2026, 2:44:36 PM6 trades$6508 min
6/27/2026, 11:01:07 PM2 trades$6410 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
06-26
06-30
07-04
07-10
07-15
07-18
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
20.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5 / M11.7 / H83.3