@lostbuthaveam

#2,407,80626

0x6f868867e991891ec1487db7ac70a6e4f2489484

~43d· 109 markets · 438 tradesVol: $5,5192026-10-08 02:15:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (43/90)8.9/20
0.83x (win $581 / loss $703)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8080/15
Sortino -2.2620/10
$-0.1173 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 436 (90 markets)10/10
20/35 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 205% of peak ($238 / $116)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#1,623,421$-50Vol: $5,104
🏛️ POLITICS#651,637$-0Vol: $67
₿ CRYPTO#801,473$-1Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-51
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,519
Total Redeem
$28
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
109
total markets
Trades
228B / 210S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$21
Vol: $400
Month
$-111
Vol: $2,334
All Time
$-51
Vol: $5,519

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
39W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-51
Win Rate
50%
39W / 39L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $238 (4.699684293606945% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$156
49ers vs. Rams$53
Falcons vs. Saints$29
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$26
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$26
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$25
Vikings vs. Buccaneers$25
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5$22
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)$15
76ers vs. Celtics$15

Top Losers

76ers vs. Knicks$-95
Packers vs. Vikings$-62
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-52
Eagles vs. Bears$-46
Patriots vs. Seahawks$-40
Falcons vs. Packers$-38
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)$-34
Bengals vs. Steelers$-30
Seahawks vs. Commanders$-30
Texans vs. Colts$-28

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.093
Sortino
-0.102
HHI
346
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.120
Kelly %
1.0%
Half-Kelly
0.5%
Top-1 market
11.5%
Top-5 markets
33%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 1.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.1%
Mid (20-55c)39.5%
High (>55c)36.4%

Sessions

#12
9/11/2026, 12:24:54 AM10 trades$2413 min
9/27/2026, 5:37:00 AM30 trades$20412 min
9/28/2026, 1:50:32 AM19 trades$15910 min
5/4/2026, 10:01:42 AM2 trades$1590 min
5/4/2026, 9:35:50 PM14 trades$1396 min
9/24/2026, 9:35:53 PM22 trades$1313 min
9/13/2026, 4:45:46 PM28 trades$1139 min
10/5/2026, 5:23:44 AM21 trades$1008 min
5/2/2026, 1:49:20 PM16 trades$6313 min
5/9/2026, 2:13:54 AM9 trades$503 min
10/6/2026, 10:35:15 PM26 trades$497 min
5/16/2026, 2:19:01 PM7 trades$401 min
9/22/2026, 2:05:32 AM10 trades$366 min
5/4/2026, 2:44:22 AM11 trades$365 min
5/10/2026, 10:26:22 PM2 trades$360 min
5/7/2026, 9:46:16 PM2 trades$360 min
5/3/2026, 11:50:52 AM2 trades$330 min
5/2/2026, 2:08:16 PM2 trades$330 min
9/14/2026, 12:46:42 AM9 trades$321 min
5/10/2026, 4:50:10 PM10 trades$317 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-18
03-23
03-28
05-02
05-09
05-16
09-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.3/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L24.1 / M39.5 / H36.4