@coloradogaston
#2,973,281100x6fac2c4887a6fe30664754b5cd6a0426d33b574e
~66d· 67 markets · 192 tradesVol: $253,6752026-09-10 10:12:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
25% (16/64)0/20
0.73x (win $3,184 / loss $4,371)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1430/15
Sortino -3.2020/10
$-0.1448 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 435 (64 markets)10/10
14/46 profitable days (30%)0.1/10
Max DD 272% of peak ($1,876 / $689)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#34,284$335Vol: $227,085
🎭 CULTURE#814,054$-381Vol: $7,778
⚽ SPORTS#1,831,372$-646Vol: $6,228
💰 FINANCE#641,882$-100Vol: $6,151
💻 TECH#251,798$-36Vol: $6,028
📢 MENTIONS#165,603$-85Vol: $369
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-931
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$253,675
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
67
total markets
Trades
91B / 101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d
Periods
#2Today
$12
Vol: $0
Week
$-56
Vol: $0
Month
$-158
Vol: $29,107
All Time
$-931
Vol: $253,675
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
25%
16W / 48L events
Realized PnL
$-898
Win Rate
25%
16W / 48L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$199
Avg Loss
$-91
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,736 (1.9327878889074412% of PnL)
Top Winners
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$965
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$478
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?$294
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?$288
Someone else next Prime Minister of France?$243
Will Brazil unban X before October?$229
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?$202
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?$183
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?$94
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$81
Top Losers
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-600
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?$-400
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-309
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$-300
Trudeau out before April?$-200
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 27-Jan 3?$-200
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-195
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?$-193
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$-192
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$-101
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.111
Sortino
-0.188
HHI
260
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.155
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
25.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 252s — normal for humanCV 0.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.98
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)58.2%
Mid (20-55c)28.6%
High (>55c)13.2%
Sessions
#129/1/2026, 9:31:51 AM39 trades$3,4530 min
1/13/2026, 3:46:31 PM2 trades$1,3610 min
11/5/2025, 3:38:19 PM1 trades$6780 min
2/27/2026, 9:51:59 PM4 trades$6014 min
12/28/2024, 5:28:36 PM3 trades$5164 min
8/18/2025, 11:55:10 PM2 trades$4990 min
12/9/2024, 12:19:59 PM1 trades$4380 min
12/8/2024, 4:50:45 AM1 trades$4330 min
11/13/2024, 9:00:11 AM2 trades$4002 min
11/4/2025, 3:02:03 PM4 trades$4005 min
12/28/2024, 10:12:54 PM1 trades$3710 min
9/23/2024, 12:29:27 PM1 trades$3430 min
10/11/2024, 1:54:55 PM1 trades$3320 min
10/17/2024, 2:19:13 PM1 trades$3290 min
10/2/2024, 6:15:43 PM1 trades$3160 min
2/21/2026, 12:50:34 AM1 trades$3000 min
2/27/2026, 2:19:04 AM1 trades$3000 min
12/6/2024, 6:46:43 PM1 trades$2500 min
12/8/2024, 8:39:42 PM2 trades$2502 min
2/27/2026, 10:10:37 PM1 trades$2400 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-11
08-29
10-09
12-20
02-21
11-13
02-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 460 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.98/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.2 / M28.6 / H13.2