Darvin777

@Darvin777

#3,062,12510

0x6ffa3f243a105c0c283482ef9ca999d71c57b3c4

~109d· 29 markets · 418 tradesVol: $905,0412026-08-02 05:28:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

16% (4/25)0/20
0.88x (win $21,168 / loss $24,032)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6970/15
Sortino -1.2980/10
$-0.0503 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 746 (25 markets)8.8/10
4/22 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($20,199 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20
Whale
$56,978 invested

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,046$-4,835Vol: $700,212
🎭 CULTURE#816,128$-12,996Vol: $204,829

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-17,831
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$905,041
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
171B / 247S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~109d

Periods

#2
Today
$49
Vol: $0
Week
$-219
Vol: $0
Month
$-46
Vol: $0
All Time
$-17,831
Vol: $905,041

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
16%
4W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-17,831
Win Rate
16%
4W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$5,292
Avg Loss
$-1,144

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,058 (1.180945651137619% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$10,902
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$9,777
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? $379
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$111

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-6,575
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$-4,439
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$-2,223
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$-1,904
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$-1,262
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$-1,052
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?$-1,003
Nothing Ever Happens $-969
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?$-937
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? $-770

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.036
Sortino
-0.075
HHI
751
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.8%
Top-5 markets
56%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 176s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.12
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)64.9%
Mid (20-55c)19.3%
High (>55c)15.8%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 3:05:49 PM8 trades$13,5773 min
7/17/2026, 5:43:16 PM39 trades$10,5122 min
6/26/2026, 11:58:10 AM16 trades$9,9802 min
5/9/2026, 3:40:59 AM6 trades$8,9291 min
4/13/2026, 1:40:13 PM32 trades$8,4250 min
5/9/2026, 5:32:45 AM2 trades$7,9960 min
4/3/2026, 5:57:43 PM9 trades$5,3971 min
5/13/2026, 8:34:34 AM8 trades$5,0000 min
6/26/2025, 4:03:05 PM1 trades$4,9990 min
5/14/2026, 10:00:38 PM9 trades$4,6380 min
5/9/2026, 9:37:12 AM2 trades$4,2860 min
6/4/2026, 9:01:58 AM14 trades$3,9700 min
5/8/2026, 6:28:22 PM6 trades$3,8250 min
7/5/2026, 7:38:11 AM2 trades$3,3330 min
7/18/2026, 6:08:58 AM4 trades$3,3280 min
6/28/2026, 6:50:23 AM2 trades$3,0000 min
4/13/2026, 2:03:25 PM11 trades$2,4550 min
3/16/2025, 6:28:16 PM2 trades$1,9363 min
5/9/2026, 7:00:11 PM19 trades$1,7910 min
6/8/2026, 8:36:40 PM4 trades$1,5220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
03-29
05-15
10-03
12-29
04-13
06-04
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L64.9 / M19.3 / H15.8