@alebale
#122,182200x717111a47627254461412df6cecd697f9ba07af9
~225d· 1462 markets · 27488 tradesVol: $3,027,3002026-08-02 06:24:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (449/1055)6.3/20
0.59x (win $6,947 / loss $11,783)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1210/15
Sortino -3.3050/10
$-0.0854 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 74 (1055 markets)10/10
78/170 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 535% of peak ($6,575 / $1,228)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+442
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20
Whale
$56,652 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#38,603$262Vol: $1,268,469
⚽ SPORTS#64,867$374Vol: $1,047,768
📈 ECONOMICS#13,091$92Vol: $216,618
₿ CRYPTO#107,630$77Vol: $181,606
💰 FINANCE#28,965$40Vol: $121,953
🎭 CULTURE#76,179$8Vol: $117,587
🌤️ WEATHER#293,249$-337Vol: $38,483
💻 TECH#247,671$-95Vol: $8,756
Overview
#1Net PnL
$442
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,027,300
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1462
total markets
Trades
17619B / 9869S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~225d
Periods
#2Today
$11
Vol: $1,996
Week
$-55
Vol: $1,996
Month
$2
Vol: $8,198
All Time
$442
Vol: $3,027,300
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
449W / 606L events
Realized PnL
$442
Win Rate
43%
449W / 606L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-20
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,492 (7.896825396825396% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2,279
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$776
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$438
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$290
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$116
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 2?$77
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?$73
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on May 7?$69
Top Losers
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-880
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-680
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-451
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-369
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-328
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$-308
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-306
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-301
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-248
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$-237
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.111
Sortino
-0.143
HHI
19
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.161
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
5.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
56.1
Very active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.6m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.7
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 3.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock56 trades/day — mass trading3.0 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.22
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)79.1%
Mid (20-55c)3.6%
High (>55c)17.3%
Sessions
#124/5/2026, 11:00:11 AM367 trades$5,00311 min
6/2/2026, 9:44:54 AM35 trades$2,5551 min
6/4/2026, 7:49:55 AM8 trades$1,7522 min
7/1/2026, 8:45:08 PM65 trades$1,5721 min
4/30/2026, 5:00:08 PM3 trades$1,1110 min
5/1/2026, 4:00:16 AM6 trades$9070 min
5/22/2026, 1:00:09 AM2 trades$8000 min
5/2/2026, 5:55:38 PM11 trades$6738 min
5/2/2026, 2:28:16 PM6 trades$5444 min
7/15/2026, 6:00:08 PM19 trades$5330 min
6/12/2026, 7:57:46 PM6 trades$4832 min
4/16/2026, 4:15:08 PM8 trades$4580 min
4/26/2026, 3:27:42 AM3 trades$4372 min
7/6/2026, 4:00:10 AM4 trades$4210 min
4/14/2026, 2:30:09 PM2 trades$4160 min
4/30/2026, 7:38:58 AM11 trades$3474 min
6/9/2026, 3:30:07 PM6 trades$3300 min
7/2/2026, 9:45:10 PM5 trades$3105 min
7/2/2026, 2:30:11 AM3 trades$2714 min
7/18/2026, 1:00:06 PM3 trades$2300 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-02
01-03
03-02
03-30
05-01
06-07
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.22/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.1 / M3.6 / H17.3