@TryingToNotLose

#3,085,08061

0x71e206538bc8a784541356f63f63d2e82ca831c4

~141d· 91 markets · 1655 tradesVol: $427,9892026-09-10 12:52:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (37/90)5.6/20
1.46x (win $46,744 / loss $32,046)8.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.28515/15
Sortino 2.29510/10
$+0.3176 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 991 (90 markets)7.5/10
25/61 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 62% of peak ($15,504 / $25,085)1.6/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+968
Contrarian
66% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,700,440$-3,185Vol: $427,069
SPORTS#1,624,371$-55Vol: $920

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,240
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$427,989
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
91
total markets
Trades
982B / 673S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~141d

Periods

#2
Today
$-42
Vol: $3,400
Week
$1,040
Vol: $22,060
Month
$-745
Vol: $45,899
All Time
$-3,240
Vol: $427,989

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
37W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$968
Win Rate
41%
37W / 53L
Profit Factor
1.46x
Avg Win
$1,263
Avg Loss
$-697

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35,692 (36.887081438611% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$18,838
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$11,130
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$5,724
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$4,291
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$2,755
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1,572
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$862
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$314
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$213
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$91

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$-10,518
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$-10,329
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$-4,373
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?$-2,173
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$-1,966
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?$-490
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 26-1?$-234
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$-216
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6?$-150
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 26-1?$-144

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.067
Sortino
0.093
HHI
3641
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.185
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
45.7%
Top-5 markets
118.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 799s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.42
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.7%
Mid (20-55c)46.7%
High (>55c)33.6%

Sessions

#12
7/2/2026, 1:24:31 PM8 trades$1,4477 min
4/9/2026, 8:53:51 AM3 trades$1,3310 min
6/16/2026, 10:05:47 PM2 trades$1,1470 min
6/27/2026, 9:18:56 AM7 trades$1,0343 min
7/24/2026, 2:34:24 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
4/28/2026, 6:39:04 PM3 trades$9810 min
5/2/2026, 7:09:00 PM2 trades$9400 min
7/28/2026, 9:59:49 AM3 trades$9180 min
5/7/2026, 6:42:07 AM2 trades$8910 min
6/27/2026, 10:27:35 AM6 trades$8450 min
6/9/2026, 11:33:03 PM2 trades$8000 min
5/15/2026, 9:08:54 PM2 trades$7600 min
6/23/2026, 7:14:23 AM10 trades$7500 min
6/15/2026, 3:50:19 PM10 trades$7301 min
5/22/2026, 10:19:43 AM2 trades$7250 min
6/26/2026, 1:36:31 AM4 trades$7220 min
7/19/2026, 8:07:49 AM5 trades$7041 min
6/28/2026, 9:46:58 PM22 trades$6933 min
6/23/2026, 9:24:28 AM5 trades$6570 min
6/26/2026, 3:35:14 AM3 trades$6554 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
01-30
02-21
03-21
05-05
06-26
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.42/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L19.7 / M46.7 / H33.6